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Infill consistent estimability of the regression slope between Gaussian random fields under spatial confounding

空间混杂下高斯随机场回归斜率的填充渐近一致可估性

The problem of estimating the slope parameter in regression between two spatial processes under confounding by an unmeasured spatial process has received widespread attention in the recent statistical literature. Yet, a fundamental question remains unresolved: when is this slope consistently estimable under spatial confounding, with existing insights being largely empirical or estimator-specific. In this manuscript, we characterize conditions for consistent estimability of…

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Consistency of common spatial estimators under spatial confounding

空间混杂下常用空间估计量的一致性

Summary This article addresses the asymptotic performance of popular spatial regression estimators of the linear effect of an exposure on an outcome under spatial confounding, the presence of an unmeasured spatially structured variable influencing both the exposure and the outcome. We first show that the estimators from ordinary least squares and restricted spatial regression are asymptotically biased under spatial confounding. We then prove a novel result on the infill…

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Neural Networks for Geospatial Data

用于地理空间数据的神经网络

Analysis of geospatial data has traditionally been model-based, with a mean model, customarily specified as a linear regression on the covariates, and a Gaussian process covariance model, encoding the spatial dependence. While nonlinear machine learning algorithms like neural networks are increasingly being used for spatial analysis, current approaches depart from the model-based setup and cannot explicitly incorporate spatial covariance. We propose NN-GLS, embedding neural…

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Random Forests for Spatially Dependent Data

适用于空间依赖数据的随机森林

Spatial linear mixed-models, consisting of a linear covariate effect and a Gaussian process (GP) distributed spatial random effect, are widely used for analyses of geospatial data. We consider the setting where the covariate effect is nonlinear. Random forests (RF) are popular for estimating nonlinear functions but applications of RF for spatial data have often ignored the spatial correlation. We show that this impacts the performance of RF adversely. We propose RF-GLS, a…

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Graphical Gaussian process models for highly multivariate spatial data

高度多元空间数据的图结构高斯过程模型

Summary For multivariate spatial Gaussian process models, customary specifications of cross-covariance functions do not exploit relational inter-variable graphs to ensure process-level conditional independence between the variables. This is undesirable, especially in highly multivariate settings, where popular cross-covariance functions, such as multivariate Matérn functions, suffer from a curse of dimensionality as the numbers of parameters and floating-point operations…

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Generalized Bayes Quantification Learning under Dataset Shift

数据集偏移下的广义贝叶斯类别比例学习

Quantification learning is the task of prevalence estimation for a test population using predictions from a classifier trained on a different population. Quantification methods assume that the sensitivities and specificities of the classifier are either perfect or transportable from the training to the test population. These assumptions are inappropriate in the presence of dataset shift, when the misclassification rates in the training population are not representative of…

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CoCoLasso for high-dimensional error-in-variables regression

CoCoLasso:协变量含测量误差的高维回归

Much theoretical and applied work has been devoted to high-dimensional regression with clean data. However, we often face corrupted data in many applications where missing data and measurement errors cannot be ignored. Loh and Wainwright [Ann. Statist. 40 (2012) 1637–1664] proposed a nonconvex modification of the Lasso for doing high-dimensional regression with noisy and missing data. It is generally agreed that the virtues of convexity contribute fundamentally the success…

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Hierarchical Nearest-Neighbor Gaussian Process Models for Large Geostatistical Datasets

Spatial process models for analyzing geostatistical data entail computations that become prohibitive as the number of spatial locations become large. This article develops a class of highly scalable nearest-neighbor Gaussian process (NNGP) models to provide fully model-based inference for large geostatistical datasets. We establish that the NNGP is a well-defined spatial process providing legitimate finite-dimensional Gaussian densities with sparse precision matrices. We…

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