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用于违约概率预测的一类离散变换生存模型AI 解读

Corporate bankruptcy prediction plays a central role in academic finance research, business practice, and government regulation. Consequently, accurate default probability prediction is extremely important. We propose to apply a discrete transformation family of survival models to corporate default risk predictions. A class of Box-Cox transformations and logarithmic transformations is naturally adopted. The proposed transformation model family is shown to include the popular…

半竞争风险数据的回归分析AI 解读

Summary Semicompeting risks data are commonly seen in biomedical applications in which a terminal event censors a non-terminal event. Possible dependent censoring complicates statistical analysis. We consider regression analysis based on a non-terminal event, say disease progression, which is subject to censoring by death. The methodology proposed is developed for discrete covariates under two types of assumption. First, separate copula models are assumed for each covariate…

二元现状数据的独立性检验AI 解读

This article develops a nonparametric procedure for testing marginal independence based on bivariate current status data. Asymptotic properties of the proposed tests are derived, and their finite-sample performance is studied via simulations. The method is applied to analyze data from a community-based study of cardiovascular epidemiology in Taiwan.

预测区间、因子分析模型与高维经验线性预测AI 解读

We discuss a technique that provides prediction intervals based on a model called an empirical linear model. The technique, high-dimensional empirical linear prediction (HELP), involves principal component analysis, factor analysis and model selection. In fact, a special case of the empirical model is the factor analysis model. A factor analysis model does not generally aim at prediction, however. Therefore, HELP can be viewed as a technique that provides prediction (and…

人工神经网络的预测区间AI 解读

The artificial neural network (ANN) is becoming a very popular model for engineering and scientific applications. Inspired by brain architecture, artificial neural networks represent a class of nonlinear models capable of learning from data. Neural networks have been applied in many areas, including pattern matching, classification, prediction, and process control. This article focuses on the construction of prediction intervals. Previous statistical theory for constructing…