本页提供题录、可核实摘要与阅读线索。AI 解读未完成全文核验,可能有误;具体假设、证明和结论请核对原文。仅依据书目生成的内容属于阅读导航,不是对论文结论的确认。
摘要保留来源文本,未经模型改写。材料不足时保留待解读状态;引用采用 OpenAlex 单条关联记录,不合计版本,缺失不视为零,也不代表论文质量。
正在核对对应版本的资源…
Several predetermined variables that reflect levels of bond and stock prices appear to predict returns on common stocks of firms of various sizes, long-term bonds of various default risks, and default-free bonds of various maturities. The returns on small-firm stocks and low-grade bonds are more highly correlated in January than in the rest of the year with previous levels of asset prices, especially prices of small-firm stocks. Seasonality is found in several conditional risk measures, but such seasonality is unlikely to explain, and in some cases is opposite to, the seasonal found in mean returns.