TY - JOUR TI - Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators AU - Arturo Estrella AU - Frederic S. Mishkin JO - The Review of Economics and Statistics PY - 1998 VL - 80 IS - 1 DO - 10.1162/003465398557320 UR - https://doi.org/10.1162/003465398557320 ER -