@article{econhot_econhot-reading-59,
  title = {Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average?},
  author = {John Y. Campbell and Samuel B. Thompson},
  journal = {Review of Financial Studies},
  year = {2008},
  volume = {21},
  number = {4},
  pages = {1509-1531},
  doi = {10.1093/rfs/hhm055},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhm055}
}