@article{econhot_econhot-cited-4d9e05034c5a2265, title = {The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity}, author = {Arturo Estrella and Gikas A. Hardouvelis}, journal = {The Journal of Finance}, year = {1991}, volume = {46}, number = {2}, pages = {555-576}, doi = {10.1111/j.1540-6261.1991.tb02674.x}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1991.tb02674.x} }