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含潜在因子的高维部分线性回归模型：估计与推断AI 解读

In this paper, we introduce a novel high-dimensional Factor-Adjusted sparse Partially Linear regression Model (FAPLM), to integrate the linear effects of high-dimensional latent factors with the nonparametric effects of low-dimensional covariates. The proposed FAPLM combines the interpretability of linear models, the flexibility of nonparametric models, with the ability to effectively capture the dependencies among highdimensional covariates. We develop a penalized…

熵调整图Lasso的稀疏精度矩阵估计AI 解读

The estimation of a precision matrix is a crucial problem in various research fields, particularly when working with high dimensional data. In such settings, the most common approach is to use the penalized maximum likelihood. The literature typically employs Lasso, Ridge and Elastic Net norms, which effectively shrink the entries of the estimated precision matrix. Although these shrinkage approaches provide well-conditioned precision matrix estimates, they do not explicitly…

带变量选择的多阶段平稳处理策略的渐近推断AI 解读

Dynamic treatment regimes or policies are a sequence of decision functions over multiple stages that are tailored to individual features. One important class of treatment policies in practice, namely multi-stage stationary treatment policies, prescribes treatment assignment probabilities using the same decision function across stages, where the decision is based on the same set of features consisting of time-evolving variables (e.g., routinely collected disease biomarkers).…

基于最大似然估计的无监督凸正则化器训练AI 解读

Imaging is a standard example of an inverse problem, where the task of reconstructing a ground truth from a noisy measurement is ill-posed. Recent state-of-the-art approaches for imaging use deep learning, spearheaded by unrolled and end-to-end models and trained on various image datasets. However, many such methods require the availability of ground truth data, which may be unavailable or expensive, leading to a fundamental barrier that can not be bypassed by choice of…

重新审视硬阈值追踪：全自适应与锐利估计AI 解读

Hard Thresholding Pursuit (HTP) has aroused increasing attention for its robust theoretical guarantees and impressive numerical performance in non-convex optimization. In this paper, we introduce a novel tuning-free procedure, named Full-Adaptive HTP (FAHTP), that simultaneously adapts to both the unknown sparsity and signal strength of the underlying model. We provide an in-depth analysis of the iterative thresholding dynamics of FAHTP, offering refined theoretical…

含潜在因子的单指数模型高维推断AI 解读

Models with latent factors recently attract a lot of attention. However, most investigations focus on linear regression models and thus cannot capture nonlinearity. To address this issue, we propose a novel Factor Augmented Single-Index Model. We first address the concern whether it is necessary to consider the augmented part by introducing a score-type test statistic. Compared with previous test statistics, our proposed test statistic does not need to estimate the…

结构化函数因子增广下的稀疏学习AI 解读

As one of the most powerful tools for examining the association between functional covariates and a response, the functional regression model has been widely adopted in various interdisciplinary studies. Usually, a limited number of functional covariates are assumed in a functional linear regression model. Nevertheless, correlations may exist between functional covariates in high-dimensional functional linear regression models, which brings significant statistical challenges…

正则化M估计量的导数与残差分布及其自适应调参应用AI 解读

This paper studies M-estimators with gradient-Lipschitz loss function regularized with convex penalty in linear models with Gaussian design matrix and arbitrary noise distribution. A practical example is the robust M-estimator constructed with the Huber loss and the Elastic-Net penalty and the noise distribution has heavy-tails. Our main contributions are three-fold. (i) We provide general formulae for the derivatives of regularized M-estimators $\hatβ(y,X)$ where…

凸非可微正则项诱导的低维模式：渐近分布与模式恢复AI 解读

Popular regularizers with non-differentiable penalties, such as Lasso, Elastic Net, Generalized Lasso, or SLOPE, reduce the dimension of the parameter space by inducing sparsity or clustering in the estimators' coordinates. In this paper, we focus on linear regression and explore the asymptotic distributions of the resulting low-dimensional patterns when the number of regressors $p$ is fixed, the number of observations $n$ goes to infinity, and the penalty function increases…

基于组内重抽样的高维纵向数据惩罚拟似然AI 解读

The generalized estimating equation (GEE) method is a popular tool for longitudinal data analysis. However, GEE produces biased estimates when the outcome of interest is associated with cluster size, a phenomenon known as informative cluster size (ICS). In this study, we address this issue by formulating the impact of ICS and proposing an integrated approach to mitigate its effects. Our method combines the concept of within-cluster resampling with a penalized…

离策略学习中状态变量选择的图方法AI 解读

Sequential decision problems are widely studied across many areas of science. A key challenge when learning policies from historical data - a practice commonly referred to as off-policy learning - is how to ``identify'' the impact of a policy of interest when the observed data are not randomized. Off-policy learning has mainly been studied in two settings: dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs), where the focus is on controlling confounding in medical problems with short decision…

长期剂量反应曲线的核方法AI 解读

A core challenge in causal inference is how to extrapolate long term effects, of possibly continuous actions, from short term experimental data. It arises in artificial intelligence: the long term consequences of continuous actions may be of interest, yet only short term rewards may be collected in exploration. For this estimand, called the long term dose response curve, we propose a simple nonparametric estimator based on kernel ridge regression. By embedding the…

贝叶斯弹性网的抽样方法AI 解读

The Bayesian elastic net regression model is characterized by the regression coefficient prior distribution, the negative log density of which corresponds to the elastic net penalty function. While Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods exist for sampling from the posterior of the regression coefficients given the penalty parameters, full Bayesian inference that incorporates uncertainty about the penalty parameters remains a challenge due to an intractable integrable in the…

高维期望损失回归AI 解读

Expected shortfall is defined as the average over the tail below (or above) a certain quantile of a probability distribution. Expected shortfall regression provides powerful tools for learning the relationship between a response variable and a set of covariates while exploring the heterogeneous effects of the covariates. In the health disparity research, for example, the lower/upper tail of the conditional distribution of a health-related outcome, given high-dimensional…

去中心化稀疏线性回归：梯度追踪的线性收敛与统计保证AI 解读

We study sparse linear regression over a network of agents, modeled as an undirected graph and no server node. The estimation of the $s$-sparse parameter is formulated as a constrained LASSO problem wherein each agent owns a subset of the $N$ total observations. We analyze the convergence rate and statistical guarantees of a distributed projected gradient tracking-based algorithm under high-dimensional scaling, allowing the ambient dimension $d$ to grow with (and possibly…

情境动态定价中的局部探索与无维度遗憾界AI 解读

We study the problem of contextual dynamic pricing with a linear demand model. We propose a novel localized exploration-then-commit (LetC) algorithm which starts with a pure exploration stage, followed by a refinement stage that explores near the learned optimal pricing policy, and finally enters a pure exploitation stage. The algorithm is shown to achieve a minimax optimal, dimension-free regret bound when the time horizon exceeds a polynomial of the covariate dimension.…

高维向量自回归的数据驱动调参AI 解读

Lasso-type estimators are routinely used to estimate high-dimensional time series models. The theoretical guarantees established for these estimators typically require the penalty level to be chosen in a suitable fashion often depending on unknown population quantities. Furthermore, the resulting estimates and the number of variables retained in the model depend crucially on the chosen penalty level. However, there is currently no theoretically founded guidance for this…

分布鲁棒的工具变量估计AI 解读

Instrumental variables (IV) estimation is a fundamental method in econometrics and statistics for estimating causal effects in the presence of unobserved confounding. However, challenges such as untestable model assumptions and poor finite sample properties have undermined its reliability in practice. Viewing common issues in IV estimation as distributional uncertainties, we propose DRIVE, a distributionally robust IV estimation method. We show that DRIVE minimizes a square…

机器学习预测的对偶解释AI 解读

Machine learning predictions are typically interpreted as the sum of contributions of predictors. Yet, each out-of-sample prediction can also be expressed as a linear combination of in-sample values of the predicted variable, with weights corresponding to pairwise proximity scores between current and past economic events. While this dual route leads nowhere in some contexts (e.g., large cross-sectional datasets), it provides sparser interpretations in settings with many…

工具变量模型中对识别与维度稳健的检验AI 解读

Using modifications of Lindeberg's interpolation technique, I propose a new identification-robust test for the structural parameter in a heteroskedastic instrumental variables model. While my analysis allows the number of instruments to be much larger than the sample size, it does not require many instruments, making my test applicable in settings that have not been well studied. Instead, the proposed test statistic has a limiting chi-squared distribution so long as an…

基于自适应检测时间尺度的多尺度自回归AI 解读

We propose a multiscale approach to time series autoregression, in which linear regressors for the process in question include features of its own path that live on multiple timescales. We take these multiscale features to be the recent averages of the process over multiple timescales, whose number or spans are not known to the analyst and are estimated from the data via a change-point detection technique. The resulting construction, termed Adaptive Multiscale AutoRegression…

高维向量自回归模型中的序贯变点检测AI 解读

Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in the transition matrices of high-dimensional vector autoregressive models. The algorithm estimates transition matrices and error term variances using regularization techniques applied to training data, then computes a specific test statistic…

一步平滑样条工具变量回归AI 解读

We extend nonparametric regression smoothing splines to a context where there is endogeneity and instrumental variables are available. Unlike popular existing estimators, the resulting estimator is one-step and relies on a unique regularization parameter. We derive rates of the convergence for the estimator and its first derivative, which are uniform in the support of the endogenous variable. We also address the issue of imposing monotonicity in estimation and extend the…

比较高维时间序列的变量选择AI 解读

Given a pair of multivariate time-series data of the same length and dimensions, an approach is proposed to select variables and time intervals where the two series are significantly different. In applications where one time series is an output from a computationally expensive simulator, the approach may be used for validating the simulator against real data, for comparing the outputs of two simulators, and for validating a machine learning-based emulator against the…