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GMM 与矩条件:广义矩估计、条件矩限制与经验似然。
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Optimal Subspace Estimation Using Overidentifying Vectors via Generalized Method of Moments

利用过度识别向量与广义矩方法进行最优子空间估计

Many statistical models seek relationship between variables via subspaces of reduced dimensions. For instance, in factor models, variables are roughly distributed around a low dimensional subspace determined by the loading matrix; in mixed linear regression models, the coefficient vectors for different mixtures form a subspace that captures all regression functions; in multiple index models, the effect of covariates is summarized by the effective dimension reduction space.…

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A Simple and Efficient Estimation Method for Models with Nonignorable Missing Data

非可忽略缺失数据模型的简便高效估计方法

This paper proposes a simple and efficient estimation procedure for the model with non-ignorable missing data studied by Morikawa and Kim (2016). Their semiparametrically efficient estimator requires explicit nonparametric estimation and so suffers from the curse of dimensionality and requires a bandwidth selection. We propose an estimation method based on the Generalized Method of Moments (hereafter GMM). Our method is consistent and asymptotically normal regardless of the…

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Program Evaluation and Causal Inference with High-Dimensional Data

高维数据下的项目评估与因果推断

In this paper, we provide efficient estimators and honest confidence bands for a variety of treatment effects including local average (LATE) and local quantile treatment effects (LQTE) in data-rich environments. We can handle very many control variables, endogenous receipt of treatment, heterogeneous treatment effects, and function-valued outcomes. Our framework covers the special case of exogenous receipt of treatment, either conditional on controls or unconditionally as in…

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A New Perspective on Robust $M$-Estimation: Finite Sample Theory and Applications to Dependence-Adjusted Multiple Testing

稳健 M 估计的新视角:有限样本理论与依赖调整多重检验

Heavy-tailed errors impair the accuracy of the least squares estimate, which can be spoiled by a single grossly outlying observation. As argued in the seminal work of Peter Huber in 1973 [{\it Ann. Statist.} {\bf 1} (1973) 799--821], robust alternatives to the method of least squares are sorely needed. To achieve robustness against heavy-tailed sampling distributions, we revisit the Huber estimator from a new perspective by letting the tuning parameter involved diverge with…

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Monte Carlo Confidence Sets for Identified Sets

识别集的蒙特卡洛置信集

In complicated/nonlinear parametric models, it is generally hard to know whether the model parameters are point identified. We provide computationally attractive procedures to construct confidence sets (CSs) for identified sets of full parameters and of subvectors in models defined through a likelihood or a vector of moment equalities or inequalities. These CSs are based on level sets of optimal sample criterion functions (such as likelihood or optimally-weighted or…

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A Shrinkage Principle for Heavy-Tailed Data: High-Dimensional Robust Low-Rank Matrix Recovery

重尾数据的收缩原则:高维稳健低秩矩阵恢复

This paper introduces a simple principle for robust high-dimensional statistical inference via an appropriate shrinkage on the data. This widens the scope of high-dimensional techniques, reducing the moment conditions from sub-exponential or sub-Gaussian distributions to merely bounded second or fourth moment. As an illustration of this principle, we focus on robust estimation of the low-rank matrix $Θ^*$ from the trace regression model $Y=Tr (Θ^{*T}X) +ε$. It encompasses…

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Exact computation of GMM estimators for instrumental variable quantile regression models

工具变量分位数回归模型 GMM 估计量的精确计算

We show that the generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation problem in instrumental variable quantile regression (IVQR) models can be equivalently formulated as a mixed integer quadratic programming problem. This enables exact computation of the GMM estimators for the IVQR models. We illustrate the usefulness of our algorithm via Monte Carlo experiments and an application to demand for fish.

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Confidence Bands for Coefficients in High Dimensional Linear Models with Error-in-variables

含测量误差的高维线性模型系数置信带

We study high-dimensional linear models with error-in-variables. Such models are motivated by various applications in econometrics, finance and genetics. These models are challenging because of the need to account for measurement errors to avoid non-vanishing biases in addition to handle the high dimensionality of the parameters. A recent growing literature has proposed various estimators that achieve good rates of convergence. Our main contribution complements this…

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Sieve Wald and QLR Inferences on Semi/nonparametric Conditional Moment Models

半参数与非参数条件矩模型的筛 Wald 和 QLR 推断

This paper considers inference on functionals of semi/nonparametric conditional moment restrictions with possibly nonsmooth generalized residuals, which include all of the (nonlinear) nonparametric instrumental variables (IV) as special cases. These models are often ill-posed and hence it is difficult to verify whether a (possibly nonlinear) functional is root-$n$ estimable or not. We provide computationally simple, unified inference procedures that are asymptotically valid…

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High dimensional generalized empirical likelihood for moment restrictions with dependent data

依赖数据下高维矩条件的广义经验似然

This paper considers the maximum generalized empirical likelihood (GEL) estimation and inference on parameters identified by high dimensional moment restrictions with weakly dependent data when the dimensions of the moment restrictions and the parameters diverge along with the sample size. The consistency with rates and the asymptotic normality of the GEL estimator are obtained by properly restricting the growth rates of the dimensions of the parameters and the moment…

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Self-normalized Cramér Type Moderate Deviations under Dependence

依赖情形下自标准化和的 Cramér 型中等偏差

We establish a Cramér-type moderate deviation result for self-normalized sums of weakly dependent random variables, where the moment requirement is much weaker than the non-self-normalized counterpart. The range of the moderate deviation is shown to depend on the moment condition and the degree of dependence of the underlying processes. We consider two types of self-normalization: the big-block-small-block scheme and the interlacing or equal-block scheme. Simulation study…

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Endogeneity in high dimensions

高维模型中的内生性

Most papers on high-dimensional statistics are based on the assumption that none of the regressors are correlated with the regression error, namely, they are exogenous. Yet, endogeneity can arise incidentally from a large pool of regressors in a high-dimensional regression. This causes the inconsistency of the penalized least-squares method and possible false scientific discoveries. A necessary condition for model selection consistency of a general class of penalized…

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Pivotal estimation via square-root Lasso in nonparametric regression

非参数回归中基于平方根 Lasso 的枢轴估计

We propose a self-tuning $\sqrt{\mathrm {Lasso}}$ method that simultaneously resolves three important practical problems in high-dimensional regression analysis, namely it handles the unknown scale, heteroscedasticity and (drastic) non-Gaussianity of the noise. In addition, our analysis allows for badly behaved designs, for example, perfectly collinear regressors, and generates sharp bounds even in extreme cases, such as the infinite variance case and the noiseless case, in…

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Posterior Inference in Curved Exponential Families under Increasing Dimensions

维度递增的弯曲指数族中的后验推断

This work studies the large sample properties of the posterior-based inference in the curved exponential family under increasing dimension. The curved structure arises from the imposition of various restrictions on the model, such as moment restrictions, and plays a fundamental role in econometrics and others branches of data analysis. We establish conditions under which the posterior distribution is approximately normal, which in turn implies various good properties of…

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Local Identification of Nonparametric and Semiparametric Models

非参数与半参数模型的局部识别

In parametric, nonlinear structural models a classical sufficient condition for local identification, like Fisher (1966) and Rothenberg (1971), is that the vector of moment conditions is differentiable at the true parameter with full rank derivative matrix. We derive an analogous result for the nonparametric, nonlinear structural models, establishing conditions under which an infinite-dimensional analog of the full rank condition is sufficient for local identification.…

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Square-Root Lasso: Pivotal Recovery of Sparse Signals via Conic Programming

平方根 LASSO:通过锥规划实现稀疏信号的枢轴恢复

We propose a pivotal method for estimating high-dimensional sparse linear regression models, where the overall number of regressors $p$ is large, possibly much larger than $n$, but only $s$ regressors are significant. The method is a modification of the lasso, called the square-root lasso. The method is pivotal in that it neither relies on the knowledge of the standard deviation $σ$ or nor does it need to pre-estimate $σ$. Moreover, the method does not rely on normality or…

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Semiparametric efficiency in GMM models with auxiliary data

使用辅助数据的 GMM 模型半参数效率

We study semiparametric efficiency bounds and efficient estimation of parameters defined through general moment restrictions with missing data. Identification relies on auxiliary data containing information about the distribution of the missing variables conditional on proxy variables that are observed in both the primary and the auxiliary database, when such distribution is common to the two data sets. The auxiliary sample can be independent of the primary sample, or can be…

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Sieve empirical likelihood ratio tests for nonparametric functions

非参数函数的筛经验似然比检验

Generalized likelihood ratio statistics have been proposed in Fan, Zhang and Zhang [Ann. Statist. 29 (2001) 153-193] as a generally applicable method for testing nonparametric hypotheses about nonparametric functions. The likelihood ratio statistics are constructed based on the assumption that the distributions of stochastic errors are in a certain parametric family. We extend their work to the case where the error distribution is completely unspecified via newly proposed…

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