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Orthogonal Policy Learning with Ordinal Outcomes

有序结果下的正交政策学习

Policy learning methods based on conditional average treatment effects can obscure subpopulation heterogeneity when applied to ordinal outcomes. We develop a policy learning framework for ordinal outcomes with heterogeneous utilities for individuals who strictly benefit from treatment and those who do not. Since the probability of strict benefit is only partially identified without further conditions, we adopt a minimax strategy which minimizes the worst-case regret over the…

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Identifiability of causal effects with non-Gaussianity and auxiliary covariates

利用非高斯性与辅助协变量识别因果效应

Assessing causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding is challenging. Although auxiliary variables, such as instrumental variables, are commonly used to identify causal effects, they are often unavailable in practice due to stringent and untestable conditions. To address this issue, previous researches have utilized linear structural equation models to show that the causal effect is identifiable when noise variables of the treatment and outcome are both…

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An Efficient Approach for Optimizing the Cost-effective Individualized Treatment Rule Using Conditional Random Forest

利用条件随机森林高效优化成本有效的个体化治疗规则

Evidence from observational studies has become increasingly important for supporting healthcare policy making via cost-effectiveness (CE) analyses. Similar as in comparative effectiveness studies, health economic evaluations that consider subject-level heterogeneity produce individualized treatment rules (ITRs) that are often more cost-effective than one-size-fits-all treatment. Thus, it is of great interest to develop statistical tools for learning such a cost-effective ITR…

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