How Much Does Home Field Advantage Matter in Soccer Games? A Causal Inference Approach for English Premier League Analysis
足球主场优势有多重要:英超联赛的因果推断分析
In many sports, it is commonly believed that the home team has an advantage over the visiting team, known as the home field advantage. Yet its causal effect on team performance is largely unknown. In this paper, we propose a novel causal inference approach to study the causal effect of home field advantage in English Premier League. We develop a hierarchical causal model and show that both league level and team level causal effects are identifiable and can be conveniently…