A Markov-switching spatio-temporal ARCH model
马尔可夫切换时空 ARCH 模型
Stock market indices are volatile by nature, and sudden shocks are known to affect volatility patterns. The autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and generalized ARCH (GARCH) models neglect structural breaks triggered by sudden shocks that may lead to an overestimation of persistence, causing an upward bias in the estimates. Different regime-switching models that have abrupt regime-switching governed by a Markov chain were developed to model volatility in…