Calibrated Bayesian inference for overall and subgroup-specific causal effects in stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trials
阶梯楔形整群随机试验中总体与亚组因果效应的校准贝叶斯推断
Stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trials (SW-CRTs) randomly assign clusters to sequences that determine when each cluster switches from control to intervention. Conventional Bayesian analyses of SW-CRTs report treatment effect coefficients from a working outcome model, but under model misspecification or informative cluster-period sizes, such coefficients can lack a clear causal interpretation. In this work, we develop Bayesian methods targeting weighted average treatment…