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CHASM: Online Changepoint Detection in Temporal and Cross-Variable Dependence

CHASM:时间依赖与变量间依赖的在线变点检测

Changepoint detection identifies times when the generative process of a time series changes, with applications in healthcare, cybersecurity, and finance. In multivariate settings, changes in cross-variable and temporal dependence are particularly challenging to detect, as they are often less pronounced than shifts in marginal statistics such as the mean or variance. Existing methods detect changes using reconstruction error, which provides only an indirect measure of…

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Changepoint detection in non-exchangeable data

非可交换数据中的变点检测

Changepoint models typically assume the data within each segment are independent and identically distributed conditional on some parameters which change across segments. This construction may be inadequate when data are subject to local correlation patterns, often resulting in many more changepoints fitted than preferable. This article proposes a Bayesian changepoint model which relaxes the assumption of exchangeability within segments. The proposed model supposes data…

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