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保留计量方法研究、相关统计基础,以及实质涉及计量方法的应用、教程、比较和综述。书评、刊务及明确无关内容不公开;身份或相关性证据不足的记录保留待核,补充可靠材料后可重新判断。
预印本来自 arXiv 计量经济学及相关统计、金融分类和主题检索。主题检索从 2021 年起回补;关注作者追溯更早年份,部分历史文献按已核验编号补录。收录不表示通过同行评审,仍可能遗漏。
本库首次提交范围:2004-06-23 — 2026-10-14。
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Fairness-Aware and Interpretable Policy Learning

兼顾公平性与可解释性的政策学习

Fairness and interpretability play an important role in the adoption of decision-making algorithms across many application domains. These requirements are intended to avoid undesirable group differences and to alleviate concerns related to transparency. This paper proposes a framework that integrates fairness and interpretability into algorithmic decision making by combining data transformation with policy trees, a class of interpretable policy functions. The approach is…

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Comprehensive Causal Machine Learning

多粒度因果效应的综合机器学习

Uncovering causal effects in multiple treatment setting at various levels of granularity provides substantial value to decision makers. Comprehensive machine learning approaches to causal effect estimation allow to use a single causal machine learning approach for estimation and inference of causal mean effects for all levels of granularity. Focusing on selection-on-observables, this paper compares three such approaches, the modified causal forest (mcf), the generalized…

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Causal Machine Learning for Moderation Effects

用于调节效应分析的因果机器学习

It is valuable for any decision maker to know the impact of decisions (treatments) on average and for subgroups. The causal machine learning literature has recently provided tools for estimating group average treatment effects (GATE) to better describe treatment heterogeneity. This paper addresses the challenge of interpreting such differences in treatment effects between groups while accounting for variations in other covariates. We propose a new parameter, the balanced…

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The finite sample performance of instrumental variable-based estimators of the Local Average Treatment Effect when controlling for covariates

控制协变量时工具变量局部平均处理效应估计量的有限样本表现

This paper investigates the finite sample performance of a range of parametric, semi-parametric, and non-parametric instrumental variable estimators when controlling for a fixed set of covariates to evaluate the local average treatment effect. Our simulation designs are based on empirical labor market data from the US and vary in several dimensions, including effect heterogeneity, instrument selectivity, instrument strength, outcome distribution, and sample size. Among the…

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Modified Causal Forest

改进的因果森林

Uncovering the heterogeneity of causal effects of policies and business decisions at various levels of granularity provides substantial value to decision makers. This paper develops estimation and inference procedures for multiple treatment models in a selection-on-observed-variables framework by modifying the Causal Forest approach (Wager and Athey, 2018) in several dimensions. The new estimators have desirable theoretical, computational, and practical properties for…

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