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Causal Effect Identification in Uncertain Causal Networks

不确定因果网络中的因果效应识别

Causal identification is at the core of the causal inference literature, where complete algorithms have been proposed to identify causal queries of interest. The validity of these algorithms hinges on the restrictive assumption of having access to a correctly specified causal structure. In this work, we study the setting where a probabilistic model of the causal structure is available. Specifically, the edges in a causal graph exist with uncertainties which may, for example,…

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A Causal Research Pipeline and Tutorial for Psychologists and Social Scientists

面向心理学与社会科学的因果研究流程及教程

Causality is a fundamental part of the scientific endeavour to understand the world. Unfortunately, causality is still taboo in much of psychology and social science. Motivated by a growing number of recommendations for the importance of adopting causal approaches to research, we reformulate the typical approach to research in psychology to harmonize inevitably causal theories with the rest of the research pipeline. We present a new process which begins with the…

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Prespecification of Structure for Optimizing Data Collection and Research Transparency by Leveraging Conditional Independencies

利用条件独立性预先指定结构,优化数据收集与研究透明度

Data collection and research methodology represents a critical part of the research pipeline. On the one hand, it is important that we collect data in a way that maximises the validity of what we are measuring, which may involve the use of long scales with many items. On the other hand, collecting a large number of items across multiple scales results in participant fatigue, and expensive and time consuming data collection. It is therefore important that we use the available…

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D'ya like DAGs? A Survey on Structure Learning and Causal Discovery

你喜欢有向无环图吗?结构学习与因果发现综述

Causal reasoning is a crucial part of science and human intelligence. In order to discover causal relationships from data, we need structure discovery methods. We provide a review of background theory and a survey of methods for structure discovery. We primarily focus on modern, continuous optimization methods, and provide reference to further resources such as benchmark datasets and software packages. Finally, we discuss the assumptive leap required to take us from…

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