Calibrated Transfer Learning for Survival Prediction and Treatment Inference
校准迁移学习用于生存预测与治疗推断
Historical survival data can improve prediction in a cohort with few events, but prognostic differences can make borrowing harmful. To borrow while adapting, we propose calibrated transfer learning for the Cox model, in which a historical risk function enters the target analysis as a fixed offset with a prespecified correction for changing covariate effects and a separate baseline hazard. Calibration removes historical error in the correction space exactly, so only the…