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Slope Consistency of Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator for Binary Choice Models

二元选择模型准最大似然估计的斜率一致性

Although QMLE is generally inconsistent, logistic regression relying on the binary choice model (BCM) with logistic errors is widely used, especially in machine learning contexts with many covariates. This paper revisits the slope consistency of QMLE for BCMs. Ruud (1983) introduced a set of conditions under which QMLE may yield a constant multiple of the slope coefficient of BCMs asymptotically. However, he did not fully establish the slope consistency of QMLE, which…

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Using SVM to Estimate and Predict Binary Choice Models

用支持向量机估计和预测二元选择模型

The support vector machine (SVM) has an asymptotic behavior that parallels that of the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) for binary outcomes generated by a binary choice model (BCM), although it is not a QMLE. We show that, under the linear conditional mean condition for covariates given the systematic component used in the QMLE slope consistency literature, the slope of the separating hyperplane given by the SVM consistently estimates the BCM slope parameter, as…

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A Kernelization-Based Approach to Nonparametric Binary Choice Models

非参数二元选择模型的核化估计方法

We propose a new estimator for nonparametric binary choice models that does not impose a parametric structure on either the systematic function of covariates or the distribution of the error term. A key advantage of our approach is its computational scalability in the number of covariates. For instance, even when assuming a normal error distribution as in probit models, commonly used sieves for approximating an unknown function of covariates can lead to a large-dimensional…

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