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秩—秩回归的统计推断AI 解读

The slope coefficient in a rank-rank regression is a popular measure of intergenerational mobility. In this article, we first show that commonly used inference methods for this slope parameter are invalid. Second, when the underlying distribution is not continuous, the OLS estimator and its distribution may be sensitive to how ties in the ranks are handled. Motivated by these findings we derive the asymptotic distribution of the OLS estimator and provide valid inference…

固定效应删失面板模型中修剪最小二乘与最小绝对偏差的渐近方差AI 解读

We study inference using trimmed least squares (TLS) and trimmed least absolute deviations (TLAD) estimators of \citet{honore_trimmed_1992} in censored two-period panel-data models with fixed effects. We show that the published asymptotic variance formulas rely on additional regularity conditions that are not fully stated in the original analysis. For TLS, the published Hessian formula requires that the regressor-difference index vanish only when the regressor difference…

基于 Logit 的两阶段最小二乘替代估计量AI 解读

We propose logit-based IV and augmented logit-based IV estimators that serve as alternatives to the traditionally used 2SLS estimator in the model where both the endogenous treatment variable and the corresponding instrument are binary. Our novel estimators are as easy to compute as the 2SLS estimator but have an advantage over the 2SLS estimator in terms of causal interpretability. In particular, in certain cases where the probability limits of both our estimators and the…

处理效应与因果参数的双重／去偏机器学习AI 解读

Most modern supervised statistical/machine learning (ML) methods are explicitly designed to solve prediction problems very well. Achieving this goal does not imply that these methods automatically deliver good estimators of causal parameters. Examples of such parameters include individual regression coefficients, average treatment effects, average lifts, and demand or supply elasticities. In fact, estimates of such causal parameters obtained via naively plugging ML…

回归变量随机分配时的标准误AI 解读

We examine asymptotic properties of the OLS estimator when the values of the regressor of interest are assigned randomly and independently of other regressors. We find that the OLS variance formula in this case is often simplified, sometimes substantially. In particular, when the regressor of interest is independent not only of other regressors but also of the error term, the textbook homoskedastic variance formula is valid even if the error term and auxiliary regressors…

分组面板数据模型的谱估计与后谱估计AI 解读

In this paper, we develop spectral and post-spectral estimators for grouped panel data models. Both estimators are consistent in the asymptotics where the number of observations $N$ and the number of time periods $T$ simultaneously grow large. In addition, the post-spectral estimator is $\sqrt{NT}$-consistent and asymptotically normal with mean zero under the assumption of well-separated groups even if $T$ is growing much slower than $N$. The post-spectral estimator has,…

加权平均分位数回归AI 解读

In this paper, we introduce the weighted-average quantile regression framework, $\int_0^1 q_{Y|X}(u)ψ(u)du = X'β$, where $Y$ is a dependent variable, $X$ is a vector of covariates, $q_{Y|X}$ is the quantile function of the conditional distribution of $Y$ given $X$, $ψ$ is a weighting function, and $β$ is a vector of parameters. We argue that this framework is of interest in many applied settings and develop an estimator of the vector of parameters $β$. We show that our…

Z 估计框架中多函数参数的正则化后一致有效置信区域AI 解读

In this paper we develop procedures to construct simultaneous confidence bands for $\tilde p$ potentially infinite-dimensional parameters after model selection for general moment condition models where $\tilde p$ is potentially much larger than the sample size of available data, $n$. This allows us to cover settings with functional response data where each of the $\tilde p$ parameters is a function. The procedure is based on the construction of score functions that satisfy…

利用大量矩不等式推断因果与结构参数AI 解读

This paper considers the problem of testing many moment inequalities where the number of moment inequalities, denoted by $p$, is possibly much larger than the sample size $n$. There is a variety of economic applications where solving this problem allows to carry out inference on causal and structural parameters, a notable example is the market structure model of Ciliberto and Tamer (2009) where $p=2^{m+1}$ with $m$ being the number of firms that could possibly enter the…

基于级数或大量回归变量的条件分位数过程AI 解读

Quantile regression (QR) is a principal regression method for analyzing the impact of covariates on outcomes. The impact is described by the conditional quantile function and its functionals. In this paper we develop the nonparametric QR-series framework, covering many regressors as a special case, for performing inference on the entire conditional quantile function and its linear functionals. In this framework, we approximate the entire conditional quantile function by a…

处理效应的双重／去偏／Neyman 机器学习AI 解读

Chernozhukov, Chetverikov, Demirer, Duflo, Hansen, and Newey (2016) provide a generic double/de-biased machine learning (DML) approach for obtaining valid inferential statements about focal parameters, using Neyman-orthogonal scores and cross-fitting, in settings where nuisance parameters are estimated using a new generation of nonparametric fitting methods for high-dimensional data, called machine learning methods. In this note, we illustrate the application of this method…