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代码、数据与补充材料

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关注这篇论文的作者
Xingwei Tong
Fuqing Gao
Kani Chen
Dingjiao Cai
Jianguo Sun

非正态误差下变换线性回归的最大似然估计

研究问题
在线性变换模型中,如何同时估计回归参数和变换函数,并处理变换函数在尾部发散带来的估计不稳定问题?
方法与思路
作者发展最大似然估计方法,并针对误差分布给出确保一致性与渐近正态性的条件;另以数值研究和台风预报数据说明。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称,该方法建立了回归参数与变换函数的估计理论,所需误差分布条件接近最优;数值研究显示方法表现良好。
阅读关注点
应核对尾部发散如何被处理、误差分布条件及其接近最优的含义,并区分回归参数和变换函数各自的渐近结论。
阅读边界
仅据稿件版本未注明的 OpenAlex 摘要,具体条件、收敛形式和数值比较均未说明;无法判断台风应用表现或刊本变化。

原文摘要

This paper discusses the transformed linear regression with non-normal error distributions, a problem that often occurs in many areas such as economics and social sciences as well as medical studies. The linear transformation model is an important tool in survival analysis partly due to its flexibility. In particular, it includes the Cox model and the proportional odds model as special cases when the error follows the extreme value distribution and the logistic distribution, respectively. Despite the popularity and generality of linear transformation models, however, there is no general theory on the maximum likelihood estimation of the regression parameter and the transformation function. One main difficulty for this is that the transformation function near the tails diverges to infinity and can be quite unstable. It affects the accuracy of the estimation of the transformation function and regression parameters. In this paper, we develop the maximum likelihood estimation approach and provide the near optimal conditions on the error distribution under which the consistency and asymptotic normality of the resulting estimators can be established. Extensive numerical studies suggest that the methodology works well, and an application to the data on a typhoon forecast is provided.

笔记与分组