Instrumental variable estimation in functional linear models
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函数型线性模型中的工具变量估计AI 解读 ↓
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In an increasing number of empirical studies, the dimensionality measured e.g. as the size of the parameter space of interest, can be very large. Two instances of large dimensional models are the linear regression with a large number of covariates and the estimation of a regression function with many instrumental variables. An appropriate setting to analyze high dimensional problems is provided by a functional linear model, in which the covariates belong to Hilbert spaces. This paper considers the case where covariates are endogenous and assumes the existence of instrumental variables (that are functional as well). The paper shows that estimating the regression function is a linear ill-posed inverse problem, with a known but data-dependent operator. The first contribution is to analyze the rate of convergence of the penalized least squares estimator. Based on the result, we discuss the notion of “instrument strength” in the high dimensional setting. We also discuss a generalized version of the estimator, when the problem is premultiplied by an instrument-dependent operator. This extends the technology of Generalized Method of Moments to high dimensional, functional data. A central limit theorem is also established on the inner product of the estimator. The studied estimators are easy and fast to implement, and the finite-sample performance is discussed through simulations and an application to the impact of age-specific fertility rate curves on yearly economic growth in the United Kingdom.
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The Arellano-Bond estimator is a fundamental method for dynamic panel data models, widely used in practice. It can be severely biased when the time series dimension of the data, $T$, is long. The source of the bias is the large degree of overidentification. We propose a simple two-step approach to deal with this problem. The first step applies LASSO to the cross-section data at each time period to select the most informative moment conditions, exploiting the approximately…
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内生性面板数据中连续处理效应的双重/去偏机器学习
We propose a double/debiased machine learning framework to estimate average derivative effects in nonparametric panel models with two-way fixed effects. It extends instrumental variable methods to panel settings, handles continuous treatments and various forms of endogeneity, and introduces a cross-fitting scheme to restore independence after eliminating time fixed effects. A penalized GMM debiasing term enables automatic debiased machine learning with endogeneity. Our…
准贝叶斯局部投影工具变量法:可再生能源与电价应用
This paper introduces a quasi-Bayesian approach for local projection instrumental-variables (LP-IV) estimation. It builds a moment-based quasi-posterior using the generalized method of moments (GMM) objective and applies a roughness-penalty prior to smooth impulse responses over different horizons. The approach maintains the key first-order features of traditional LP-IV methods, while enhancing stability in finite samples and allowing for joint inference through simultaneous…
多弱工具变量高维回归的多任务学习
Many weak instrumental variables (IVs) are routinely used in the health and social sciences to improve identification and inference of the treatment effect of interest, along with a broad collection of data on potential confounding factors in the hope that the IV assumptions hold within each data stratum. We propose a new debiased continuous-updating generalized method of moments estimator with multi-task learning of the IV propensity scores to simultaneously address the…
非参数工具变量估计泛函推断的惩罚 GMM 框架
This paper develops a penalized GMM (PGMM) framework for automatic debiased inference on functionals of nonparametric instrumental variable estimators. We derive convergence rates for the PGMM estimator and provide conditions for root-n consistency and asymptotic normality of debiased functional estimates, covering both linear and nonlinear functionals. Monte Carlo experiments on average derivative show that the PGMM-based debiased estimator performs on par with the…