An incidental parameters free inference approach for panels with common shocks
共同冲击面板中免受附带参数问题影响的推断方法AI 解读 ↓
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共同冲击面板中免受附带参数问题影响的推断方法AI 解读 ↓
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This paper develops a novel Method of Moments approach for panel data models with endogenous regressors and unobserved common factors. The proposed approach does not require estimating explicitly a large number of parameters in either time-series or cross-sectional dimension, T and N respectively. Hence, it is free from the incidental parameter problem. In particular, the proposed approach does not suffer from “Nickell bias” of order O(T−1), nor from bias terms that are of order O(N−1). Therefore, it can operate under substantially weaker restrictions compared to existing large T procedures. Two alternative GMM estimators are analyzed; one makes use of a fixed number of “averaged estimating equations” à la Anderson and Hsiao (1982), whereas the other one makes use of “stacked estimating equations”, the total number of which increases at the rate of O(T). It is demonstrated that both estimators are consistent and asymptotically mixed-normal as N→∞ for any value of T. Low-level conditions that ensure local and global identification in this setup are examined using several examples.
高维面板数据模型的 GMM 估计
In this paper, we study a class of high dimensional moment restriction panel data models with interactive effects, where the factors are unobserved and these factor loadings are nonparametrically unknown smooth functions of individual characteristic variables. We allow the dimension of the parameter vector and the number of moment conditions to diverge with the sample size. This is a very general framework and is closely related to many existing linear and nonlinear panel…
二阶识别模型中的推断
We explore the local power properties of different test statistics for conducting inference in moment condition models that only identify the parameters locally to second order. We consider the conventional Wald and LM statistics, and also the Generalized Anderson–Rubin (GAR) statistic (Anderson and Rubin, 1949; Dufour, 1997; Staiger and Stock, 1997; Stock and Wright, 2000), KLM statistic (Kleibergen, 2002; Kleibergen, 2005) and the GMM extension of Moreira (2003) (GMM-M)…
含未观测随机动态效应的非线性时间序列与面板模型的拉普拉斯变换识别
We consider nonlinear parametric and semi-parametric models for time series and panel data including unobserved dynamic effects. These regression models have an affine specification with respect to lagged endogenous variables and unobserved dynamic effects. We derive conditional moment restrictions based on suitable Laplace transforms. We show how to deploy these nonlinear moment restrictions to identify the parameters of the affine regression model, and the parametric or…
动态线性面板模型的 Arellano–Bond LASSO 估计量
The Arellano-Bond estimator is a fundamental method for dynamic panel data models, widely used in practice. It can be severely biased when the time series dimension of the data, $T$, is long. The source of the bias is the large degree of overidentification. We propose a simple two-step approach to deal with this problem. The first step applies LASSO to the cross-section data at each time period to select the most informative moment conditions, exploiting the approximately…
无限阶面板自回归过程的工具变量估计
We consider instrumental variables (IV) estimation of a possibly infinite order dynamic panel autoregressive (AR) process with individual effects. The estimation is based on the sieve AR approximation, with its lag order increasing with sample size. Transforming the variable to eliminate individual effects generates an endogeneity problem, particularly when the time series is only moderately long. IV approaches are useful to obtain well-behaved estimators in panels with…
面板 AR(1) 模型中基于准极大似然的一致有效推断
Maximum Likelihood (ML) offers attractive alternatives to Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimators for dynamic panel data models. However, to date no identification-robust inference methods exist that can be used in conjunction with the ML estimators for these models. In this paper we propose ML based inference methods for panel AR(1) models with arbitrary initial conditions and heteroskedasticity that are robust to the strength of identification. We show that (Quasi)…