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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要研究大数据贝叶斯通用抽样算法,未指定所列经济计量细分方向。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Joris Bierkens
Paul Fearnhead
Gareth Roberts

Zig-Zag 过程与大数据贝叶斯分析的超高效抽样

研究问题
如何减少大数据贝叶斯抽样中反复计算全样本似然的负担,同时保持目标后验,并使预处理后的抽样成本弱化对数据规模的依赖?
方法与思路
作者采用连续时间、分段确定且非可逆的 Zig-Zag 过程,结合子抽样与控制变量,研究无离散化误差模拟及遍历条件。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称子抽样过程仍以后验为平稳分布;在结合控制变量及预处理的设定下,可使近独立样本的后续成本不依赖数据规模。
阅读关注点
应核对事件模拟、无偏估计和控制变量的构造、遍历条件,以及规模无关成本的成立条件、预处理代价和独立性度量。
阅读边界
仅据版本未注明的索引摘要;超高效结论的具体条件未说明,成本陈述须计及预处理,平稳分布正确也不代表有限运行已收敛。

原文摘要

Standard MCMC methods can scale poorly to big data settings due to the need to evaluate the likelihood at each iteration. There have been a number of approximate MCMC algorithms that use sub-sampling ideas to reduce this computational burden, but with the drawback that these algorithms no longer target the true posterior distribution. We introduce a new family of Monte Carlo methods based upon a multidimensional version of the Zig-Zag process of [Ann. Appl. Probab. 27 (2017) 846–882], a continuous-time piecewise deterministic Markov process. While traditional MCMC methods are reversible by construction (a property which is known to inhibit rapid convergence) the Zig-Zag process offers a flexible nonreversible alternative which we observe to often have favourable convergence properties. We show how the Zig-Zag process can be simulated without discretisation error, and give conditions for the process to be ergodic. Most importantly, we introduce a sub-sampling version of the Zig-Zag process that is an example of an exact approximate scheme, that is, the resulting approximate process still has the posterior as its stationary distribution. Furthermore, if we use a control-variate idea to reduce the variance of our unbiased estimator, then the Zig-Zag process can be super-efficient: after an initial preprocessing step, essentially independent samples from the posterior distribution are obtained at a computational cost which does not depend on the size of the data.

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