Unbiased estimation when sampling from renewal processes: The single sample and k -sample random means cases
更新过程抽样中的无偏估计:单样本与多样本随机均值情形AI 解读 ↓
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更新过程抽样中的无偏估计:单样本与多样本随机均值情形AI 解读 ↓
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Suppose random variables are sampled sequentially until the sum of associated non-negative random variables is greater than or equal to a predetermined constant. When no distributional assumptions are made, we derive uniform minimum variance unbiased estimators for functions which are U-estimable in the fixed sample size case. We also consider estimation for some special cases when distributional assumptions are made. When estimating the mean and variance of random means, it is often assumed that sample sizes are independent of populations selected for sampling, and hence independent of the random means associated with the populations sampled. When sampling from renewal processes sample size is dependent on the distribution of the population selected for sampling. Thus, in addition to the single sample case we consider the k-sample problem and the estimation of the expectation and variance of random means.
In this paper, we develop bootstrap methods for factor-augmented regressions with potentially weak common components, allowing signal eigenvalues to diverge at heterogeneous rates $N^{α_k}$, where $0<α_k\leq1$, $k=1,\ldots,r$. The regression estimator targets a rotation of the latent parameter vector that may be data dependent, while factor estimation can induce asymptotic bias. The proposed procedure directly constructs the rotation-specific target in the bootstrap world,…
Conditional distribution equality testing is a core problem with applications in causal inference, model diagnostics, and transfer learning. Existing methods often lose power when the conditioning variable is high-dimensional. We propose a new test that leverages generative models to compare conditional distributions using both observed data and synthetic samples. A sample-splitting and studentization scheme is introduced to control estimation error. Under the null, the test…
Factor models for longitudinal data, where policy adoption is unconfounded with respect to a low-dimensional set of latent factor loadings, have become increasingly popular for causal inference. Most existing approaches, however, rely on a causal finite-sample approach or computationally intensive methods, limiting their applicability and external validity. In this paper, we propose a novel method for panel causal inference within a super-population framework, based on…
预期高安慰剂反应时安慰剂对照随机试验的因果效应估计
In placebo-controlled randomized clinical trials (RCTs), the placebo response significantly modifies treatment effects and diminishes the intention-to-treat (ITT) treatment effect, $Δ_{ITT}$. This study presents a novel two-stage framework for estimating the standardized causal treatment effect, $Δ_{STD}$, among the ITT population, under the assumption that their placebo responses are similar to the levels of self-administering medication at home. The first stage employs a…
Normality pre-tests on reduced-form innovations cannot detect whether two or more underlying structural shocks are Gaussian, and hence cannot detect a failure of identification in non-Gaussian SVARs. We propose a bootstrap-based approach that reveals such a failure. Under the null of valid identification and certain regularity conditions, the conditional bootstrap distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of the impact matrix is asymptotically normal, so the…
Understanding associations between paired high-dimensional longitudinal datasets is a fundamental yet challenging problem arising across scientific domains, including longitudinal multi-omic studies. The difficulty stems from the complex, time-varying cross-covariance structure coupled with high dimensionality, which complicates both model formulation and statistical estimation for association discovery. To address these challenges, we propose a new framework called…