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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要研究通用缺失数据机制与加权估计,未明确估计因果效应;不能仅因使用逆概率加权就归入因果推断。

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关注这篇论文的作者
BaoLuo Sun

非单调随机缺失数据的逆概率加权

研究问题
对于非单调随机缺失数据,如何建立相容的缺失机制模型、估计观测概率,并利用不完整样本提高逆概率加权效率?
方法与思路
作者提出覆盖随机缺失机制的一类模型,以最大似然或贝叶斯约束方式估计缺失概率,再通过增广估计方程利用不完整记录。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称,该框架不限制完整数据分布,贝叶斯方法满足模型约束,增广方程在一个较大的估计方程类别中具有最优性。
阅读关注点
应核对缺失机制模型如何满足概率相容性、最大似然的收敛问题、贝叶斯约束的实现,以及效率最优性的比较类别。
阅读边界
来源为版本未注明的索引摘要;摘要未说明随机缺失假设的适用依据、模型误设性质或效率增益,不能推广至非随机缺失。

原文摘要

The development of coherent missing data models to account for nonmonotone missing at random (MAR) data by inverse probability weighting (IPW) remains to date largely unresolved. As a consequence, IPW has essentially been restricted for use only in monotone missing data settings. We propose a class of models for nonmonotone missing data mechanisms that spans the MAR model, while allowing the underlying full data law to remain unrestricted. For parametric specifications within the proposed class, we introduce an unconstrained maximum likelihood estimator for estimating the missing data probabilities which can be easily implemented using existing software. To circumvent potential convergence issues with this procedure, we also introduce a Bayesian constrained approach to estimate the missing data process which is guaranteed to yield inferences that respect all model restrictions. The efficiency of the standard IPW estimator is improved by incorporating information from incomplete cases through an augmented estimating equation which is optimal within a large class of estimating equations. We investigate the finite-sample properties of the proposed estimators in a simulation study and illustrate the new methodology in an application evaluating key correlates of preterm delivery for infants born to HIV infected mothers in Botswana, Africa.

笔记与分组