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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要研究通用同时置信集,没有足够证据对应所列经济计量细分领域。

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代码、数据与补充材料

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关注这篇论文的作者
Rudolf Beran

平衡的同时置信集

研究问题
如何为一族参数函数选择临界值,使同时置信集达到正确的整体覆盖率,并让各个置信陈述具有相等的覆盖率?
方法与思路
作者提出一种 bootstrap 方法,联合校准各个置信集的临界值,以兼顾整体覆盖率和各组成部分的覆盖率平衡。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称该方法在一般条件下渐近有效,涵盖正态线性模型中的经典同时区间,也可处理特征向量置信锥等问题。
阅读关注点
应核对平衡与整体覆盖率的形式化定义、bootstrap 校准步骤及渐近条件,并查看不同应用中的具体构造。
阅读边界
仅据 OpenAlex 索引摘要,稿件版本未注明,不能推断刊本变化;一般条件及有限样本覆盖表现未具体说明。

原文摘要

Suppose that T(θ) = {Tu (θ)} is a family of parametric functions indexed by the variable u. For each u, an approximate confidence set Cn,u for Tu (θ) may be obtained by referring a function of Tu (θ) and the sample to an estimated quantile dn,u of that function's sampling distribution. This approach is sometimes called the pivotal method for constructing a confidence set, even when it is not based on a true pivot. A simultaneous confidence set Cn for T(θ) is then obtained by simultaneously asserting the individual confidence sets {Cn,u }. The problem is to choose the critical values for the {Cn,u } in such a way that the overall coverage probability of Cn is correct and the coverage probabilities of the individual confidence sets {Cn,u } are equal. The second property is termed balance. It means that the simultaneous confidence set Cn treats each constituent confidence statement Cn,u fairly. Aside from a few special cases, the problem just described is too difficult for analytical approaches, whether exact or asymptotic in nature. A new bootstrap method described in this article, however, yields a practical solution to the problem that is asymptotically valid under general conditions. The new method recovers, as special cases, the Tukey and Scheffé simultaneous confidence intervals for the normal linear model. In addition, it handles distributionally harder problems, such as simultaneous confidence cones for the eigenvectors of an unknown covariance matrix or confidence bands for a linear predictor, in either parametric or nonparametric settings.

笔记与分组
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