Another look at bandwidth-free inference: a sample splitting approach
重新审视免带宽推断:样本分割方法AI 解读 ↓
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重新审视免带宽推断:样本分割方法AI 解读 ↓
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Abstract The bandwidth-free tests for a multi-dimensional parameter have attracted considerable attention in econometrics and statistics literature. These tests can be conveniently implemented due to their tuning-parameter free nature and possess more accurate size as compared to the traditional heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent-based approaches. However, when sample size is small/medium, these bandwidth-free tests exhibit large size distortion when both the dimension of the parameter and the magnitude of temporal dependence are moderate, making them unreliable to use in practice. In this paper, we propose a sample splitting-based approach to reduce the dimension of the parameter to one for the subsequent bandwidth-free inference. Our SS–SN (sample splitting plus self-normalisation) idea is broadly applicable to many testing problems for time series, including mean testing, testing for zero autocorrelation, and testing for a change point in multivariate mean, among others. Specifically, we propose two types of SS–SN test statistics and derive their limiting distributions under both the null and alternatives and show their effectiveness in alleviating size distortion via simulations. In addition, we obtain the limiting distributions for both SS–SN test statistics in the multivariate mean testing problem when the dimension is allowed to diverge.
可能错设与非平稳模型中稳健推断的演化谱理论
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均值结构与自相关稳健的协方差矩阵估计
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未知时点趋势变动检验:OLS 稳健检验的固定 b 分析
This paper analyzes tests for a shift in the trend function of a time series at an unknown date based on ordinary least squares (OLS) estimates of the trend function. Inference about the trend parameters depends on the serial correlation structure of the data through the long-run variance (zero frequency spectral density) of the errors. Asymptotically pivotal tests can be obtained by the use of serial correlation robust standard errors that require an estimate of the…
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度量空间时间序列的在线分布变化检测
We propose an online testing framework for detecting distributional changes in serially dependent data with values in a separable metric space. Based on two-sample $U$-statistics, the framework encompasses sequential analogs of energy distance and maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) procedures while accommodating temporal dependence. We establish asymptotic theory for finite and open-ended monitoring horizons that characterizes the full asymptotic run-length distribution under $H_0$…