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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要研究一般科学场景的函数型与纵向过程,未明确经济面板、宏观序列或金融对象,现有证据不足以细分。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Siteng Hao
Shu-Chin Lin
Jane-Ling Wang
Qixian Zhong

多变量函数型与纵向数据的动态建模

研究问题
多变量随机过程只能在稀疏、不规则且主体间不同的时点测量时,如何刻画过程值与导数之间的动态关系并支持预测?
方法与思路
作者以过程值解释多变量过程的导数,从线性同期模型出发估计回归系数函数,允许不规则观测和噪声,也涵盖共同观测时点。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称,方法可处理不规则多变量纵向数据,并建立包含相变现象的估计收敛率,再通过模拟和真实数据应用展示模型。
阅读关注点
应核对过程导数与系数函数的估计步骤、观测密度和噪声条件,以及收敛率相变的阈值、含义及动态关系的解释边界。
阅读边界
仅据所给 RePEc 出版社摘要,光滑性条件、相变阈值及应用结果未说明;动态关系本身不足以支持因果解释或预测优势。

原文摘要

Dynamic interactions among several stochastic processes are common in many scientific fields. It is crucial to model these interactions to understand the dynamic relationship of the corresponding multivariate processes with their derivatives and to improve predictions. In reality, full observations of the multivariate processes are not feasible as measurements can only be taken at discrete locations or time points, and often only sparingly and intermittently in longitudinal studies. This results in multivariate longitudinal data that are measured at different times for different subjects. We propose a time-dynamic model to handle multivariate longitudinal data by modeling the derivatives of multivariate processes using the values of these processes. Starting with a linear concurrent model, we develop methods to estimate the regression coefficient functions, which can accommodate irregularly measured longitudinal data that are possibly contaminated with noise. Our approach can also be applied to settings when the observational times are the same for all subjects. We establish the convergence rates of our estimators with phase transitions and further illustrate our model through a simulation study and a real data application.

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