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分类依据与纠错

AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要直接研究观测数据中的潜在结果、个体因果效应及其组合式估计。

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代码、数据与补充材料

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关注这篇论文的作者
Purva Pruthi
David Jensen

用于因果效应估计的组合式模型

研究问题
对于由多个异质组件组成、且每个单位组件结构不同的系统,如何估计个体潜在结果和因果效应,并推广至未见过的组件组合?
方法与思路
作者将单位层面的因果查询分解为组件层面的查询,显式建模干预如何经组件结果生成总体结果,并用模块化神经网络实现。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称,实验展示估计精度、样本效率、重叠及组合泛化方面的收益;即使组件结果不可观测,组合建模也可能改善估计精度。
阅读关注点
应核对组件结构和干预传播的假设、观测数据识别条件、组件数据可用程度,以及基准模型和未见组合测试是否具有可比性。
阅读边界
这是 arXiv 预印本,不能据此确认同行评审或期刊接收;摘要未给出因果识别条件与结果数值,实验收益的适用范围仍需核对。

原文摘要

Many real-world systems can be usefully represented as sets of interacting components. Examples include computational systems, such as query processors and compilers, natural systems, such as cells and ecosystems, and social systems, such as families and organizations. However, current approaches to estimating potential outcomes and causal effects typically treat such systems as single units, represent them with a fixed set of variables, and assume a homogeneous data-generating process. In this work, we study a compositional approach for estimating individual-level potential outcomes and causal effects in structured systems, where each unit is represented by an instance-specific composition of multiple heterogeneous components. The compositional approach decomposes unit-level causal queries into more fine-grained queries, explicitly modeling how unit-level interventions affect component-level outcomes to generate a unit's outcome. We demonstrate this approach using modular neural network architectures and show that it provides benefits for causal effect estimation from observational data, such as accurate causal effect estimation for structured units, increased sample efficiency, improved overlap between treatment and control groups, and compositional generalization to units with unseen combinations of components. Remarkably, our results show that compositional modeling can improve the accuracy of causal estimation even when component-level outcomes are unobserved. We also create and use a set of real-world evaluation environments for the empirical evaluation of compositional approaches for causal effect estimation and demonstrate the role of composition structure, varying amounts of component-level data access, and component heterogeneity in the performance of compositional models as compared to the non-compositional approaches.

笔记与分组