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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要直接比较不平等、贫困等分布泛函并分析家庭金融不平等,支持分布方向分类,风险指标的提及不足以归入系统性风险。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Jean-Marie Dufour
Tianyu He

依赖样本下分布泛函比较的非参数方法及不平等应用

研究问题
比较不平等、贫困或风险等分布指标时,如何处理两个样本之间的任意依赖或观测配对重叠,并构造可靠的置信区间?
方法与思路
作者分别提出适用于任意样本间依赖的交集方法及重叠样本方法,结合渐近与自助推断,并用影响函数估计渐近方差。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称重叠样本区间在模拟中具有较满意的覆盖率和精度,任意依赖下交集方法亦可靠,并用于分析意大利家庭金融不平等变化。
阅读关注点
应核对任意依赖与仅由匹配对产生依赖的区别、交集区间构造、影响函数条件,以及重尾分布下方差和自助法的有效性。
阅读边界
所据为 arXiv 预印本,同行评审及期刊接收未经核实;摘要指出重尾可能削弱渐近推断,自助法在方差很大或不存在时也有局限。

原文摘要

This paper proposes asymptotically distribution-free inference methods for comparing a broad range of welfare indices across dependent samples, including those employed in inequality, poverty, and risk analysis. Two distinct situations are considered. \emph{First}, we propose asymptotic and bootstrap intersection methods which are completely robust to arbitrary dependence between two samples. \emph{Second}, we focus on the common case of overlapping samples -- a special form of dependent samples where sample dependence arises solely from matched pairs -- and provide asymptotic and bootstrap methods for comparing indices. We derive consistent estimates for asymptotic variances using the influence function approach. The performance of the proposed methods is studied in a simulation experiment: we find that confidence intervals with overlapping samples exhibit satisfactory coverage rates with reasonable precision, whereas conventional methods based on an assumption of independent samples have an inferior performance in terms of coverage rates and interval widths. Asymptotic inference can be less reliable when dealing with heavy-tailed distributions, while the bootstrap method provides a viable remedy, unless the variance is substantial or nonexistent. The intersection method yields reliable results with arbitrary dependent samples, including instances where overlapping samples are not feasible. We demonstrate the practical applicability of our proposed methods in analyzing dynamic changes in household financial inequality in Italy over time.

笔记与分组