Econometrics: Statistical Foundations and Applications
计量经济学:统计基础与应用AI 解读 ↓
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计量经济学:统计基础与应用AI 解读 ↓
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1. Elementary Aspects of Multivariate Analysis.- 1.1 Preliminaries.- 1.2 Joint, Marginal, and Conditional Distributions.- 1.3 A Mathematical Digression.- 1.4 The Multivariate Normal Distribution.- 1.5 Correlation Coefficients and Related Topics.- 1.6 Estimators of the Mean Vector and Covariance Matrix and their Distribution.- 1.7 Tests of Significance.- 2. Applications of Multivariate Analysis.- 2.1 Canonical Correlations and Canonical Variables.- 2.2 Principal Components.- 2.3 Discriminant Analysis.- 2.4 Factor Analysis.- 3. Probability Limits, Asymptotic Distributions, and Properties of Maximum Likelihood Estimators.- 3.1 Introduction.- 3.2 Estimators and Probability Limits.- 3.3 Convergence to a Random Variable: Convergence in Distribution and Convergence of Moments.- 3.4 Central Limit Theorems and Related Topics.- 3.5 Miscellaneous Useful Convergence Results.- 3.6 Properties of Maximum Likelihood (ML) Estimators.- 3.7 Estimation for Distribution Admitting of Sufficient Statistics.- 3.8 Minimum Variance Estimation and Sufficient Statistics.- 4. Estimation of Simultaneous Equations Systems.- 4.1 Review of Classical Methods.- 4.2 Asymptotic Distribution of Aitken Estimators.- 4.3 Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS).- 4.4 2SLS as Aitken and as OLS Estimator.- 4.5 Asymptotic Properties of 2SLS Estimators.- 4.6 The General k-Class Estimator.- 4.7 Three-Stage Least Squares (3SLS).- 5. Applications of Classical and Simultaneous Equations Techniques and Related Problems.- 5.1 Estimation of Production and Cost Functions and Specification Error Analysis.- 5.2 An Example of Efficient Estimation of a Set of General Linear (Regression) Models.- 5.3 An Example of 2SLS and 3SLS Estimation.- 5.4 Measures of Goodness of Fit in Multiple Equations Systems: Coeficient of (Vector) Alienation and Correlation.- 5.5 Canonical Correlations and Goodness of Fit in Econometric Systems.- 5.6 Applications of Principal Component Theory in Econometric Systems.- 5.7 Alternative Asymptotic Tests of Significance for 2SLS Estimated Parameters.- 6. Alternative Estimation Methods Recursive Systems.- 6.1 Introduction.- 6.2 Indirect Least Squares (ILS).- 6.3 The Identification Problem.- 6.4 Instrumental Variables Estimation.- 6.5 Recursive Systems.- 7. Maximum Likelihood Methods.- 7.1 Formulation of the Problem and Assumptions.- 7.2 Reduced Form (RF) and Full Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML) Estimation.- 7.3 Limited Information (LIML) Estimation.- 8. Relations Among Estimators . Monte Carlo Methods.- 8.1 Introduction.- 8.2 Relations Among Double k-Class Estimators.- 8.3 I.V., ILS, and Double Ar-Class Estimators.- 8.4 Limited Information Estimators and Just Identification.- 8.5 Relationships Among Full Information Estimators.- 8.6 Monte Carlo Methods.- 9. Spectral Analysis.- 9.1 Stochastic Processes.- 9.2 Spectral Representation of Covariance Stationary Series.- 9.3 Estimation of the Spectrum.- 10. Cross-Spectral Analysis.- 10.1 Introduction.- 10.2 Cross Spectrum: Cospectrum, Quadrature Spectrum, and Coherency.- 10.3 Estimation of the Cross Spectrum.- 10.4 An Empirical Application of Cross-Spectral Analysis.- 11. Approximate Sampling Distributions and Other Statistical Aspects of Spectral Analysis.- 11.1 Aliasing.- 11.2 Prewhitening, Recoloring, and Related Issues.- 11.3 Approximate Asymptotic Distributions Considerations of Design and Analysis.- 12 Applications of Spectral Analysis to Simultaneous Equations Systems.- 12.1 Generalities.- 12.2 Lag Operators.- 12.3 An Operator Representation of the Final Form.- 12.4 Dynamic Multipliers and the Final Form.- 12.5 Spectral Properties of the Final Form.- 12.6 An Empirical Application.- Mathematical Appendix.- A.1 Complex Numbers and Complex-Valued Functions.- A.2 The Riemann-Stieltjes Integral.- A.3 Monotonie Functions and Functions of Bounded Variation.- A.4 Fourier Series.- A.5 Systems of Difference Equations with Constant Coefficients.- A.6 Matrix Algebra.
内生随机单位根模型中的 IV 与 GMM 推断
Lieberman and Phillips (2017; LP) introduced a multivariate stochastic unit root (STUR) model, which allows for random, time varying local departures from a unit root (UR) model, where nonlinear least squares (NLLS) may be used for estimation and inference on the STUR coefficient. In a structural version of this model where the driver variables of the STUR coefficient are endogenous, the NLLS estimate of the STUR parameter is inconsistent, as are the corresponding estimates…
实现渐近正态性的半非参数估计量自适应规则
In econometrics, seminonparametric (SNP) estimators originated in the consumer demand literature. The Fourier flexible form is a well-known example. The idea is to replace the consumer's indirect utility function with a truncated series expansion and then use a parametric procedure, such as nonlinear multivariate regression, to set a confidence interval on an elasticity. More recently, SNP estimators have been used in nonlinear time series analysis. A truncated Hermite…
直接效用函数中随机偏好变动的序列相关理论
Methods of maximum-likelihood search (eg., Hildreth-Lu) for single equations models with autocorrelated disturbances are not easily extended to the multi-equation systems encountered in econometric studies of consumer demand. The obstacle is the large dimension of the space of independent serial correlation coefficients to be partitioned and searched. This paper treats stochastic disturbance vectors in demand/expenditure systems as functions of random disturbances in…
预防性储蓄与总需求
We construct, and then estimate by maximum likelihood, a tractable dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with incomplete insurance and heterogenous agents. The key feature of our framework is that cross-sectional heterogeneity remains finite dimensional. The solution to the model thus admits a state-space representation that can be used to recover the distribution of the model's parameters. Household heterogeneity expands the set of observables to cross-sectional…
计量经济学中的若干不可能性定理及其在结构与动态模型中的应用
General characterizations of valid confidence sets and tests in problems involving (locally almost) unidentified (LAU) parameters are presented. In particular, any valid confidence set for an unbounded LAU parameter must be unbounded with positive probability. Consequently, almost surely bounded confidence sets, like Wald-type confidence sets, have zero coverage probability and Wald-type test statistics cannot be pivotal functions. The results are applied to simultaneous…
进口需求中的跨期替代与习惯形成
To study non-durable import demand, we extend previous work done by Clarida (1994) and Ceglowski (1991) by considering a two-good version of the lifecycle model in which we introduce time-non-separability in the households' preferences. The model is estimated using quarterly data for the USA and France. Using the information contained in the observed stochastic and deterministic trends, we derive a cointegration restriction used to estimate curvature parameters of the…