On a Population Sample for Greece
希腊人口的一项抽样调查AI 解读 ↓
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希腊人口的一项抽样调查
- 研究问题
- 如何在有限资源和时间内，通过地区与家庭抽样估计希腊1946年人口及其相对1940年的变化，并量化抽样不确定性？
- 方法与思路
- 摘要描述从约二百个初级样本地区抽取3052户，按1940年人口分类，并在地理及字母排序的普查名单上系统抽样。
- 材料陈述的贡献
- 摘要报告人口比估计为0.988，并估计性别、年龄、识字和就业等特征；部分指标计算了标准误，调查与计算历时七周。
- 阅读关注点
- 应核对分层与配置规则、地区和家庭的入样概率、估计权重及标准误算法，并查看人口变化是否影响抽样框覆盖。
- 阅读边界
- 仅据版本未注明的索引摘要；非应答、覆盖误差及人口估计区间的具体含义未说明，不能据此评价总体调查准确性。
原文摘要
Samples of households and of names from electoral lists were compared in connection with the work of the Allied Mission for Observing the Greek Elections. Only the sample of households taken in the summer of 1946 is described in detail here. The 3052 sample households were drawn from a primary sample of about 200 areas. Villages, towns, and cities were classified on the basis of their 1940 populations, and a sample of areas and households was drawn, conforming closely to the principle of optimum allocation of resources and manpower. Geographic distribution was obtained automatically by drawing the areas at systematic intervals from the 1940 Census lists, which were arranged in geographic and alphabetic order. The sample gave an estimate of .988 for the ratio of the 1946 to the 1940 population, with a standard error of 2.1 percent. This ratio corresponds to a 1946 population of 7.26 ± .15 million. Numerous other population characteristics such as distribution by sex and age, literacy, and employment, and industry, were estimated and the standard errors were computed for some of them. The entire sample and the computations were completed in seven weeks.