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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要涉及通用正则化回归、分类与后验计算,未限定所列经济或金融应用领域。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Nicholas G. Polson
James G. Scott
Jesse Windle

贝叶斯桥估计

研究问题
如何为回归和分类中的桥型正则化构建贝叶斯估计及后验采样方法,并理解设计矩阵结构对采样效率的影响?
方法与思路
作者利用正态尺度混合及三角密度混合两种表示构造 MCMC 方法,并研究更广泛的 beta 尺度混合表示与逆演公式。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称提出新的三角密度混合表示及推广定理,并报告在所考察数据上的估计、预测和采样表现,提供 R 包实现。
阅读关注点
应核对桥先验及混合表示的参数条件、后验多峰性,以及共线与正交设计下的效率比较和模拟、真实数据的评价标准。
阅读边界
仅据所给 Crossref 摘要;性能优势是作者对所考察案例的报告,未提供数值或完整条件,不能据此确认普遍优越性或软件现状。

原文摘要

Summary We propose the Bayesian bridge estimator for regularized regression and classification. Two key mixture representations for the Bayesian bridge model are developed: a scale mixture of normal distributions with respect to an α-stable random variable; a mixture of Bartlett–Fejer kernels (or triangle densities) with respect to a two-component mixture of gamma random variables. Both lead to Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for posterior simulation, and these methods turn out to have complementary domains of maximum efficiency. The first representation is a well-known result due to West and is the better choice for collinear design matrices. The second representation is new and is more efficient for orthogonal problems, largely because it avoids the need to deal with exponentially tilted stable random variables. It also provides insight into the multimodality of the joint posterior distribution, which is a feature of the bridge model that is notably absent under ridge or lasso-type priors. We prove a theorem that extends this representation to a wider class of densities representable as scale mixtures of beta distributions, and we provide an explicit inversion formula for the mixing distribution. The connections with slice sampling and scale mixtures of normal distributions are explored. On the practical side, we find that the Bayesian bridge model outperforms its classical cousin in estimation and prediction across a variety of data sets, both simulated and real. We also show that the Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for fitting the bridge model exhibits excellent mixing properties, particularly for the global scale parameter. This makes for a favourable contrast with analogous Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for other sparse Bayesian models. All methods described in this paper are implemented in the R package BayesBridge. An extensive set of simulation results is provided in two on-line supplemental files.

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