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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要的主要目标是缺失时变协变量下的生存推断,二元协变量和纵向辅助模型不足以归为离散选择或面板方法。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Cheryl L. Faucett
Nathaniel Schenker
Robert M. Elashoff

含间歇观测时变二元协变量的删失生存数据分析

研究问题
当风险集中所需的时变二元协变量存在缺失时,如何联合利用协变量历史与生存信息估计相对风险及其区间?
方法与思路
作者联合建立二元协变量的纵向模型与条件比例风险模型,利用 Gibbs 抽样模拟缺失协变量和模型参数的联合后验。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称在所研究模拟中,该方法常比前值填补后做部分似然分析偏差更低、覆盖更好,并可分析累计吸烟等历史函数。
阅读关注点
应核对协变量转移模型、缺失观测与删失机制的假设、先验设定,以及比较方法和模拟情景是否覆盖模型误设。
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仅据 OpenAlex 索引摘要,稿件版本未注明;改善来自特定模拟和肺癌应用,不能推断任意缺失机制下都更有效。

原文摘要

In survival analyses that include a time-dependent covariate, the standard partial likelihood approach is often complicated by the fact that the necessary observations of the time-dependent covariate are not always available for the subjects in each risk set. In this article, we consider the situation of a binary time-dependent covariate. We specify a longitudinal model for the binary covariate with missing observations and a proportional hazards model for survival time conditional on fixed covariates and the completed time-dependent covariate history. The joint posterior distribution of the missing covariates and the parameters in the covariate and hazard models is simulated using Gibbs sampling. The joint modeling approach allows the missing covariates to be generated using all of the observed covariates as well as the disease outcome and failure time information. Simulation studies show that this approach often leads to lower bias of relative risk estimates associated with the time-dependent covariate and superior coverage of interval estimates as compared to variations of approaches based on imputing missing covariate values using previous values and then performing partial likelihood analysis. Our research is motivated by a study of survival of lung cancer patients after surgery in which current smoking status is a binary time-dependent covariate. We apply the methods to data from this study and explore the advantages of the joint modeling approach. The application demonstrates that the joint modeling approach can have improved efficiency in estimating the coefficients of both the fixed and the time-dependent covariates. Moreover, it can facilitate analyses using more complicated functions of the time-dependent covariate, such as cumulative smoking, that are difficult or inappropriate to use with the comparison methods.

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