Bootstrap Inference for Dynamic Panel Data Models with Common Correlated Effects
共同相关效应动态面板模型的自助法推断AI 解读 ↓
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We study recursive-design wild bootstrap inference for dynamic panel data models with unobserved common factors estimated by Common Correlated Effects. In the large N,T setting, the bootstrap reproduces the biased limiting distribution in pure autoregressive models, but fails to capture all bias and factor-estimation variance components in models with additional regressors, particularly under weak exogeneity. We trace this failure to holding regressors fixed across bootstrap replications. We propose to combine bootstrap procedure with available bias-correction methods to conduct adjusted inference. Monte Carlo evidence shows substantial improvements over conventional strategies of using bias-correction paired with cross-sectional bootstrap methods.
去因子回归变量与多因子误差下的动态线性面板工具变量估计
This paper develops two instrumental variable (IV) estimators for dynamic panel data models with exogenous covariates and a multifactor error structure when both the cross-sectional and time series dimensions, N and T respectively, are large. The main idea is to project out the common factors from the exogenous covariates of the model, and to construct instruments based on defactored covariates. For models with homogeneous slope coefficients, we propose a two-step IV…
异质动态面板分位数回归模型的共同相关效应估计
Summary This paper proposes a quantile regression estimator for a heterogeneous panel model with lagged dependent variables and interactive effects. The paper adopts the Common Correlated Effects (CCE) approach proposed in the literature and demonstrates that the extension to the estimation of dynamic quantile regression models is feasible under similar conditions to the ones used in the literature. The new quantile regression estimator is shown to be consistent and its…
含弱外生解释变量的异质动态面板共同相关效应估计
This paper extends the Common Correlated Effects (CCE) approach developed by Pesaran (2006) to heterogeneous panel data models with lagged dependent variables and/or weakly exogenous regressors. We show that the CCE mean group estimator continues to be valid but the following two conditions must be satisfied to deal with the dynamics: a sufficient number of lags of cross section averages must be included in individual equations of the panel, and the number of cross section…
交互效应异质性空间动态面板模型的IV估计
This paper develops a Mean Group Instrumental Variables (MGIV) approach for spatial dynamic panel data models with interactive effects, under large N and T asymptotics. Unlike existing approaches that typically impose slope-parameter homogeneity, MGIV accommodates cross-sectional heterogeneity in slope coefficients. The proposed estimator is linear, making it computationally efficient and robust. Furthermore, it enables asymptotically valid inferences without requiring bias…
基于离散傅里叶变换检验交互固定效应面板模型的结构变化
We propose a discrete Fourier transform (DFT)-based test for detecting structural changes in panel data models with interactive fixed effects (IFE). When structural changes are present but ignored, the conventional asymptotic distribution of the least squares (LS) estimator of Bai (2009) may no longer provide reliable inference, and the resulting residuals contain signals of parameter instability. Our test exploits this feature by comparing the DFT of weighted residuals to…
动态异质分布回归面板模型及劳动收入应用
We introduce a dynamic distribution regression panel data model with heterogeneous coefficients across units. The objects of primary interest are functionals of these coefficients, including predicted one-step-ahead and stationary cross-sectional distributions of the outcome variable. Coefficients and their functionals are estimated via fixed effect methods. We investigate how these functionals vary in response to counterfactual changes in initial conditions or covariate…