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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要明确讨论观察性因果推断,并使用倾向得分调整来估计平均处理效应。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Jing Qin
Biao Zhang

缺失响应问题中的经验似然推断及其观察性研究应用

研究问题
在响应随机缺失且回归函数难以正确设定时,如何估计平均响应,并将方法用于观察性研究的平均处理效应估计?
方法与思路
作者在随机缺失假设下使用受约束经验似然估计平均响应,并以倾向得分调整处理前变量的差异。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称估计量具有双重稳健性,某些情况下无需完全知道真实回归函数仍可有效估计;模拟中均方误差较小。
阅读关注点
应核对经验似然约束、双重稳健与效率成立的条件,以及平均处理效应应用所需的识别假设和倾向得分设定。
阅读边界
Crossref 摘要未完整说明识别及效率条件;模拟中的稳健性和均方误差优势不能视为对任意模型错设均成立。

原文摘要

Summary The problem of missing response data is ubiquitous in medical and social science studies. In the case of responses that are missing at random (depending on some covariate information), analyses focused only on the complete data may lead to biased results. Various debias methods have been extensively studied in the literature, particularly the weighting method that was motivated by Horvitz and Thompson's estimators. To improve efficiency, Robins, Rotnitzky and Zhao proposed augmented estimating equations based on corrected complete-case analyses. A nice feature of the augmented method is its ‘double robustness’, i.e. the estimator that is derived from the augmented method is asymptotically unbiased if either the underlying missing data mechanism or the underlying regression function is correctly specified. Furthermore, the augmented estimator can achieve full efficiency if both the missing data mechanism and the regression function are correctly specified. In general, however, it is very difficult to specify the regression function correctly, especially when the dimension of covariates is high— this is the so-called curse of dimensionality problem. The augmented estimator has much lower efficiency if the ‘working regression model’ is not close to the true regression model. In this paper, the empirical likelihood method is employed to seek a constrained empirical likelihood estimation of mean response with the assumption that responses are missing at random. The empirical-likelihood-based estimators enjoy the double-robustness property. Moreover, it is possible that the empirical-likelihood-based inference can produce asymptotically unbiased and efficient estimators even if the true regression function is not completely known. Simulation results indicate that the empirical-likelihood-based estimators are very robust to a misspecification of the propensity score and dominate other competitors in the sense of having smaller mean-square errors. Methods that are developed in this paper have a nice application in observational causal inferences. The propensity score is used to adjust for differences in pretreatment variables in the estimation of average treatment effects.

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