Identification and inference for semiparametric single index transformation models
半参数单指标变换模型的识别与推断AI 解读 ↓
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半参数单指标变换模型的识别与推断AI 解读 ↓
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This paper considers a semiparametric single index model in which the dependent variable is subject to a nonparametric transformation. The model has the form G0(Y)=g0(X⊤θ0)+e, where X is a random vector of regressors, Y is the dependent variable and e is the random noise, the monotonic function G0, the smooth function g0 and the index vector θ0 are all unknown. This model is quite general in the sense that it nests many popular regression models as special cases. We first propose identification strategies for the three unknown quantities, based on which estimators are then constructed. The kernel density weighted average derivative estimator of δ (proportional to θ0) has a V-statistic representation and its asymptotical normality is established under the small bandwidth asymptotics. The kernel estimator of the transformation function G0 is a functional of the conditional distribution estimator of Y given X⊤θ0 and is shown to be n-consistent and asymptotically normal. The sieve estimator of g0 is shown to enjoy the standard nonparametric asymptotic properties. A specification test for the single index structure and extension to allow for endogeneous regressors are also developed. In addition, data-driven choices of the smoothing parameters are discussed. Simulation results illustrate the nice finite sample performance of the proposed estimators and specification test. An empirical application to studying the impact of family income on child achievement demonstrates the practical merits of the proposed model.
We develop a semiparametric continuous time inferential framework for testing cumulative treatment effects, including both immediate and carryover effects. The latent state process is modeled by an ordinary differential equation (ODE) whose drift depends on state and treatment, while the observed data are noisy measurements of this latent state at irregular, multi resolution time points. We define the average treatment effect (ATE) as the difference of expected cumulative…
BLP 模型中的条件矩估计与推断
The random-coefficient demand model of Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995) is commonly estimated by the generalized method of moments (GMM), using an unconditional moment restriction with a fixed set of instruments. Identification of the model, however, rests on a conditional moment restriction. The two are not equivalent: the unconditional restriction may admit additional parameter values. We construct a counterexample in which the model is identified by the conditional…
连接局部与总体因果效应:近端工具变量方法
Instrumental variable (IV) methods address treatment endogeneity, but with non-compliance and heterogeneous treatment effects a binary instrument generally identifies the local average treatment effect (LATE) among compliers rather than the population average treatment effect (ATE). When treatment effects and compliance probabilities are heterogeneous and dependent through latent factors, the ATE need not be identified by IV variation alone. We develop a proximal…
双框抽样框架下的半参数有效数据整合
Integrating probability and non-probability samples is increasingly important, yet unknown non-probability inclusion mechanisms complicate identification and efficient estimation. We develop semiparametric theory for dual-frame data integration and propose two complementary estimators. The first models the conditional inclusion probability parametrically and, under correct specification, attains the semiparametric efficiency bound. The probability sample serves as an…
利用网络数据识别和估计半参数 Logit 模型
This paper studies identification and estimation of a semiparametric logit model in which an unobserved individual characteristic affects both a binary outcome and the formation of social links. In this setting, the endogeneity of the network is informative rather than a nuisance: because the same latent trait drives linking behavior, observed network data can be used to control for unobserved heterogeneity in the outcome equation without imposing a parametric model of link…
基于机器学习的去偏 U 统计量
We propose a method to debias estimators based on U-statistics with machine-learning (ML) first steps. Standard plug-in estimators often suffer from regularization and model-selection biases, leading to invalid inference. We characterize orthogonal adjustment terms for two-step U-statistics, construct Debiased Machine Learning (DML) U-estimators, develop a cross-fitting algorithm, and establish a general asymptotic theory for inference with ML first steps. We illustrate the…