An Approximate Test for Comparing Heteroscedastic Regression Models
比较异方差回归模型的近似检验AI 解读 ↓
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This article addresses the problem of testing whether the vectors of regression coefficients are equal for two independent regression models when the error variances are unequal. The usual Chow statistic, appropriate when equality of variances can be assumed, is modified by replacing the pooled residual variance in the denominator with a weighted average of the residual variances from each data set. The weights are functions of the mean of the eigenvalues of W = X′ 1 X 1(X′ 1 X 1 + X′ 2 X 2)-1. Both numerator and denominator are then approximated by scalar multiples of chi-squared distributions. The parameters of these approximated distributions are chosen to equate their first two moments to those of the exact distribution. The resulting approximation for the modified Chow statistic, C*, is an F distribution with degrees of freedom that depend on the two sample sizes, the number of regressor variables, the average eigenvalue of W, and the true ratio of error variances. Since the latter is unknown, an approximate test is based on the F distribution with random degrees of freedom that result from substituting the mean squared errors of the two regressions for the respective variances. The Type I error probability of this approximation is evaluated by numerical integration. Conditioning on the estimated variance ratio, the probabilities are computed for selected configurations using a method due to J. P. Imhof; then the expectations of these probabilities with respect to the distribution of the estimated variance ratios are presented for comparison with the nominal significance level. Approximations to the power of the test are calculated for some configurations and are presented as a percentage of power of the likelihood ratio test. The results indicate that this test procedure yields a significance level closer to the nominal level than other suggested tests, and it has reasonably sufficient power across a wide range of configurations. Since the test is computationally easy to perform once the eigenvalues of W are determined, this procedure offers an excellent alternative for testing the equality of two vectors of regression coefficients.
In this paper, we develop bootstrap methods for factor-augmented regressions with potentially weak common components, allowing signal eigenvalues to diverge at heterogeneous rates $N^{α_k}$, where $0<α_k\leq1$, $k=1,\ldots,r$. The regression estimator targets a rotation of the latent parameter vector that may be data dependent, while factor estimation can induce asymptotic bias. The proposed procedure directly constructs the rotation-specific target in the bootstrap world,…
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Conditional distribution equality testing is a core problem with applications in causal inference, model diagnostics, and transfer learning. Existing methods often lose power when the conditioning variable is high-dimensional. We propose a new test that leverages generative models to compare conditional distributions using both observed data and synthetic samples. A sample-splitting and studentization scheme is introduced to control estimation error. Under the null, the test…
Factor models for longitudinal data, where policy adoption is unconfounded with respect to a low-dimensional set of latent factor loadings, have become increasingly popular for causal inference. Most existing approaches, however, rely on a causal finite-sample approach or computationally intensive methods, limiting their applicability and external validity. In this paper, we propose a novel method for panel causal inference within a super-population framework, based on…
Normality pre-tests on reduced-form innovations cannot detect whether two or more underlying structural shocks are Gaussian, and hence cannot detect a failure of identification in non-Gaussian SVARs. We propose a bootstrap-based approach that reveals such a failure. Under the null of valid identification and certain regularity conditions, the conditional bootstrap distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of the impact matrix is asymptotically normal, so the…
结合 model-X knockoffs 与 p 值的高维线性模型 FDR 控制
We propose a novel multiple testing methodology for controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) in high-dimensional linear models that integrates model-X knockoff techniques with debiased penalized regression estimators. At the foundation of our methodology, we construct and study two sets of naturally paired high-dimensional test statistics and the associated $p$-values for evaluating the same null hypotheses. The first set is shown to be asymptotically mutually independent,…
Principal stratification (PS) is a commonly used approach for understanding the mechanisms through which a treatment affects an outcome. The goal of this work is to extend the PS framework to studies with continuous treatments, which introduces a number of both challenges and opportunities in terms of defining causal effects and performing inference. This manuscript provides multiple key methodological contributions: 1) we introduce principal causal estimands for continuous…