Confidence intervals for spectral mean and ratio statistics
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谱均值及比率统计量的置信区间AI 解读 ↓
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We propose a new method, to construct confidence intervals for spectral mean and related ratio statistics of a stationary process, that avoids direct estimation of their asymptotic variances. By introducing a bandwidth, a self-normalization procedure is adopted and the distribution of the new statistic is asymptotically nuisance-parameter free. The bandwidth is chosen using information criteria and a moving average sieve approximation. Through a simulation study, we demonstrate good finite sample performance of our method when the sample size is moderate, while a comparison with an empirical likelihood-based method for ratio statistics is made, confirming a wider applicability of our method.
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We consider instrumental variables (IV) estimation of a possibly infinite order dynamic panel autoregressive (AR) process with individual effects. The estimation is based on the sieve AR approximation, with its lag order increasing with sample size. Transforming the variable to eliminate individual effects generates an endogeneity problem, particularly when the time series is only moderately long. IV approaches are useful to obtain well-behaved estimators in panels with…
谱密度函数的实用区间估计方法
The spectral density function can play a key role in time series analysis, where nonparametric interval estimation of the spectral density is a fundamental issue. However, the prevailing pointwise interval methods for spectral densities, including chi-square approximation and frequency domain bootstrap (FDB), can be misleading in practice, perhaps more so than appreciated, as confidence intervals often exhibit low coverage accuracy as well as high sensitivity to tuning…
Banach 空间值时间序列的局部线性回归札记
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使用非线性筛方法推断时间序列非参数条件矩限制
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General nonlinear sieve learnings are classes of nonlinear sieves that can approximate nonlinear functions of high dimensional variables much more flexibly than various linear sieves (or series). This paper considers general nonlinear sieve quasi-likelihood ratio (GN-QLR) based inference on expectation functionals of time series data, where the functionals of interest are based on some nonparametric function that satisfy conditional moment restrictions and are learned using…