Latent Class Survival Models Linked by Principal Stratification to Investigate Heterogenous Survival Subgroups Among Individuals With Early-Stage Kidney Cancer
以主分层连接潜在类别生存模型:早期肾癌患者的异质性生存亚组AI 解读 ↓
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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要明确使用主分层评估不同治疗下的潜在生存亚组及异质性治疗效果。
反馈分类问题以主分层连接潜在类别生存模型:早期肾癌患者的异质性生存亚组AI 解读 ↓
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Rates of kidney cancer have been increasing, with small incidental tumors experiencing the fastest growth rates. Much of the increase could be due to increased use of CT scans, MRIs, and ultrasounds for unrelated conditions. Many tumors might never have been detected or become symptomatic in the past. This suggests that many patients might benefit from less aggressive therapy, such as active surveillance by which tumors are surgically removed only if they become sufficiently large. However, it has been difficult for clinicians to identify subgroups of patients for whom treatment might be especially beneficial or harmful. In this work, we use a principal stratification framework to estimate the proportion and characteristics of individuals who have large or small hazard rates of death in two treatment arms. This allows us to assess who might be helped or harmed by aggressive treatment. We also use Weibull mixture models. This work differs from much previous work in that the survival classes upon which principal stratification is based are latent variables. That is, survival class is not an observed variable. We apply this work using Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results-Medicare claims data. Clinicians can use our methods for investigating treatments with heterogeneous effects.
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Conditional distribution equality testing is a core problem with applications in causal inference, model diagnostics, and transfer learning. Existing methods often lose power when the conditioning variable is high-dimensional. We propose a new test that leverages generative models to compare conditional distributions using both observed data and synthetic samples. A sample-splitting and studentization scheme is introduced to control estimation error. Under the null, the test…
Factor models for longitudinal data, where policy adoption is unconfounded with respect to a low-dimensional set of latent factor loadings, have become increasingly popular for causal inference. Most existing approaches, however, rely on a causal finite-sample approach or computationally intensive methods, limiting their applicability and external validity. In this paper, we propose a novel method for panel causal inference within a super-population framework, based on…
预期高安慰剂反应时安慰剂对照随机试验的因果效应估计
In placebo-controlled randomized clinical trials (RCTs), the placebo response significantly modifies treatment effects and diminishes the intention-to-treat (ITT) treatment effect, $Δ_{ITT}$. This study presents a novel two-stage framework for estimating the standardized causal treatment effect, $Δ_{STD}$, among the ITT population, under the assumption that their placebo responses are similar to the levels of self-administering medication at home. The first stage employs a…
Principal stratification (PS) is a commonly used approach for understanding the mechanisms through which a treatment affects an outcome. The goal of this work is to extend the PS framework to studies with continuous treatments, which introduces a number of both challenges and opportunities in terms of defining causal effects and performing inference. This manuscript provides multiple key methodological contributions: 1) we introduce principal causal estimands for continuous…
Background: Generalized Odds (Gen Odds) provide summaries for ordinal outcomes without requiring the proportional odds assumption. However, conventional Gen Odds compares independently drawn treatment and control outcomes and targets a population-level contrast rather than an individual-level contrast. We developed an individual-level causal formulation of Gen Odds and examined its identification. Methods: We defined the Causal Gen Odds using the joint distribution of…
We develop a semiparametric continuous time inferential framework for testing cumulative treatment effects, including both immediate and carryover effects. The latent state process is modeled by an ordinary differential equation (ODE) whose drift depends on state and treatment, while the observed data are noisy measurements of this latent state at irregular, multi resolution time points. We define the average treatment effect (ATE) as the difference of expected cumulative…