Marginal asymptotics for the “large $p$, small $n$” paradigm: With applications to microarray data
“大维度、小样本”范式的边际渐近理论及微阵列应用AI 解读 ↓
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“大维度、小样本”范式的边际渐近理论及微阵列应用AI 解读 ↓
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The “large $p$, small $n$” paradigm arises in microarray studies, image analysis, high throughput molecular screening, astronomy, and in many other high dimensional applications. False discovery rate (FDR) methods are useful for resolving the accompanying multiple testing problems. In cDNA microarray studies, for example, $p$-values may be computed for each of $p$ genes using data from $n$ arrays, where typically $p$ is in the thousands and $n$ is less than 30. For FDR methods to be valid in identifying differentially expressed genes, the $p$-values for the nondifferentially expressed genes must simultaneously have uniform distributions marginally. While feasible for permutation $p$-values, this uniformity is problematic for asymptotic based $p$-values since the number of $p$-values involved goes to infinity and intuition suggests that at least some of the $p$-values should behave erratically. We examine this neglected issue when $n$ is moderately large but $p$ is almost exponentially large relative to $n$. We show the somewhat surprising result that, under very general dependence structures and for both mean and median tests, the $p$-values are simultaneously valid. A small simulation study and data analysis are used for illustration.
高维线性回归的统一谱分析:去偏与阈值化
We use spectral analysis to establish a unified theory of debiasing, thresholding, and simultaneous inference for high-dimensional linear regression with ill-conditioned designs. The methods include Ridge regression, spectral cut-off, and iterative and dynamical regression procedures. A common debiasing procedure uses two applications of the original linear algorithm with fixed parameters. Spectral analysis shows that debiasing squares the residual, while implementations…
自删失模型下信息性缺失的纵向因果推断
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复杂调查设计下的函数型响应对标量协变量回归
Large health surveys increasingly collect high-dimensional functional data from wearable devices, and function on scalar regression (FoSR) is used to quantify the relationship between these functional outcomes and scalar covariates like age and sex. However, existing methods for FoSR fail to account for complex survey design. We introduce inferential methods for FoSR with complex survey designs. The approach combines fast univariate inference (FUI) developed for functional…
通过正交化自适应估计发现存在混杂的时间序列因果滞后结构
Finding which variables cause which others in multivariate time series, and at what lags, is central to science and policy, yet existing methods force a choice between flexible confounder adjustment, data-driven lag selection, and inference that controls the false discovery rate (FDR). ORACLE-VARX does all three in one pipeline. First, double/debiased machine learning (DML) removes nonlinear confounder effects from the outcomes and the lagged series. Second, adaptive causal…
We propose an automatic, general-purpose framework for making discoveries from unstructured data (e.g., text data from open-ended surveys of economic beliefs). The framework leverages recent methods from the literature on AI interpretability to transform unstructured datasets into high-dimensional, structured datasets of interpretable concept measurements; specifies concept-level parameters and null hypotheses based on this transformed dataset; tests these hypotheses using…
面向超高维数据的贝叶斯单变量引导稀疏回归
Ultra-high-dimensional genomic studies require simultaneous identification of sparse signals, control of spurious discoveries, and computationally feasible inference when the number of predictors can reach hundreds of thousands or more. We propose Bayesian Univariate-Guided Sparse Regression (BUGS), a global--local shrinkage framework that incorporates marginal association information directly into the prior through continuous modulation of shrinkage. By embedding univariate…