Penalized Normal Likelihood and Ridge Regularization of Correlation and Covariance Matrices
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High dimensionality causes problems in various areas of statistics. A particular situation that rarely has been considered is the testing of hypotheses about multivariate regression models in which the dimension of the multivariate response is large. In this article a ridge regularization approach is proposed in which either the covariance or the correlation matrix is regularized to ensure nonsingularity irrespective of the dimensionality of the data. It is shown that the proposed approach can be derived through a penalized likelihood approach, which suggests cross-validation of the likelihood function as a natural approach for estimation of the ridge parameter. Useful properties of this likelihood estimator are derived, discussed, and demonstrated by simulation. For a class of test statistics commonly used in multivariate analysis, the proposed regularization approach is compared with some obvious alternative regularization approaches using generalized inverse and data reduction through principal components analysis. Essentially, the approaches considered differ in how they shrink eigenvalues of sample covariance and correlation matrices. This leads to predictable differences in power properties when comparing the use of different regularization approaches, as demonstrated by simulation. The proposed ridge approach has relatively good power compared with the alternatives considered. In particular, a generalized inverse is shown to perform poorly and cannot be recommended in practice. Finally, the proposed approach is used in analysis of data on macroinvertebrate biomasses that have been classified to species.
高维因子定价模型的柯西聚合岭检验
In high-dimensional factor pricing models, the power of regularized alpha tests depends on the ridge parameter, whose optimal value varies with the unknown direction of pricing errors. We address this tuning uncertainty by combining ridge-specific p-values using the Cauchy rule. The resulting test retains the least-squares alpha estimator and residual sample covariance and accommodates more assets than observations. We establish the joint Gaussian limits of the component…
Copula主动子空间(一):非高斯密度降维估计的得分协方差方法
In Bayesian inference problems with non-Gaussian observation noise, the posterior is only as accurate as the noise density, and gradient-based samplers need that density and its gradient evaluable pointwise, whether from an explicit expression or from code, and without an inner solve. We propose Copula Active Subspaces (CAS) to represent this noise density. A componentwise rank transform isolates the noise law's dependence in its copula, and a rank-$r$ reduction keeps only…
不可观测异质性的去偏机器学习:高维面板与测量误差模型
Developing robust inference for models with nonparametric Unobserved Heterogeneity (UH) is both important and challenging. We propose novel Debiased Machine Learning (DML) procedures for valid inference on functionals of UH, allowing for partial identification of multivariate target and high-dimensional nuisance parameters. Our main contribution is a full characterization of all relevant Neyman-orthogonal moments in models with nonparametric UH, where relevance means…
高维面板数据模型的稳健估计与推断
This paper provides the relevant literature with a complete toolkit for conducting robust estimation and inference about the parameters of interest involved in a high-dimensional panel data framework. Specifically, (1) we allow for non-Gaussian, serially and cross-sectionally correlated and heteroskedastic error processes, (2) we develop an estimation method for the high-dimensional long-run covariance matrix using a thresholded estimator, (3) we also allow for the number of…
连接局部与总体因果效应:近端工具变量方法
Instrumental variable (IV) methods address treatment endogeneity, but with non-compliance and heterogeneous treatment effects a binary instrument generally identifies the local average treatment effect (LATE) among compliers rather than the population average treatment effect (ATE). When treatment effects and compliance probabilities are heterogeneous and dependent through latent factors, the ATE need not be identified by IV variation alone. We develop a proximal…
缺失数据下广义潜因子模型的初始化、隐式正则化与推断
Generalized latent factor models provide a flexible framework for analyzing high-dimensional non-Gaussian data, but principled estimation and uncertainty quantification under missingness remain substantially less developed. We develop a theory that connects a computationally tractable nonconvex procedure directly to statistical inference for nonlinear latent factor models with exponential-family links and partially observed entries. Our procedure combines a link-aware…