On testing for spatial or social network dependence in panel data allowing for network variability
允许网络随时间变化的面板空间与社会网络依赖检验AI 解读 ↓
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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要明确在面板数据中检验空间或社会网络引起的横截面依赖,并允许网络随时间变化和个体效应存在。
允许网络随时间变化的面板空间与社会网络依赖检验AI 解读 ↓
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The paper introduces robust generalized Moran I tests for network-generated cross-sectional dependence in a panel data setting where unit-specific effects can be random or fixed. Network dependence may originate from endogenous variables, exogenous variables, and/or disturbances, and the network dependence is allowed to vary over time. The formulation of the test statistics also aims at accommodating situations where the researcher is unsure about the exact nature of the network. Unit-specific effects are eliminated using the Helmert transformation, which is well known to yield time-orthogonality for linear forms of transformed disturbances. Given the specification of our test statistics, these orthogonality properties also extend to the quadratic forms that underlie our test statistics. This greatly simplifies the expressions for the asymptotic variances of our test statistics and their estimation. Monte Carlo simulations suggest that the generalized Moran I tests introduced in this paper have the proper size and can provide substantial improvement in robustness when the researcher faces uncertainty about the specification of the network topology.
存在干扰时合成控制的稳健回归方法
Synthetic control methods are widely used for policy evaluation, but most existing approaches rule out interference among units, compromising validity when such effects are present. We develop a framework that accommodates contaminated donor pools and unknown interference patterns through two stages: factor-model adjustment for unobserved confounding, followed by robust regression in which direct and interference effects appear as a sparse outlier component. We study two…
似然模型中附带参数问题的 Neyman 正交化方法
A popular approach to perform inference on a target parameter in the presence of nuisance parameters is to construct estimating equations that are orthogonal to the nuisance parameters, in the sense that their expected first derivative is zero. Such first-order orthogonalization allows the estimator of the nuisance parameters to converge at a slower-than-parametric rate. It may, however, not suffice when the nuisance parameters are very imprecisely estimated. Leading…
本地收益大、净收益小:波多黎各首次行业进入的直接与溢出效应
I study how first sizable industry entries reshape local and neighboring labor markets in Puerto Rico. Using over a decade of quarterly municipality--industry data (2014Q1--2025Q1), I identify ``first sizable entries'' as large, persistent jumps in establishments, covered employment, and wage bill, and treat these as shocks to local industry presence at the municipio--industry level. Methodologically, I combine staggered-adoption difference-in-differences estimators that are…
内生网络下的半参数动态 Logit 模型
Many choices persist over time and are made among friends. Teenagers who smoke tend to keep smoking, and they tend to have friends who smoke. Part of this persistence is habit, but part may come from characteristics researchers do not observe, such as a taste for risk, that shape both whether a student smokes and whom they befriend. Methods that treat friendships as given cannot separate the two when the characteristic changes over time. This paper shows how the friendship…
不依赖收敛速度设定的成对数据回归 Wald 推断
This paper develops Wald inference for least-squares estimation of linear regression models on dyadic data, accommodating configurations where multiple observations share the same pair of units (e.g., directed flows, multilayer networks, and dyadic panels). We establish that the dyadic-robust Wald statistic is asymptotically $χ^2_q$ for an arbitrary nonrandom sequence of full-rank restrictions, under a single condition on the accumulation of dependence. Throughout, no…
空间动态面板的再中心化矩估计量
This paper proposes a recentered method of moments (RMM) approach for estimating spatial dynamic panel data (SDPD) models with both individual and time fixed effects. This approach directly exploits the correlation of regressors and disturbances, where heteroskedasticity may exist across units and/or over time. It is computationally tractable and can handle situations where other methods are not applicable. We show that the proposed estimator is consistent and asymptotically…