A Bivariate Model for Simultaneous Testing in Bioinformatics Data
生物信息学数据中用于同时检验的二元模型AI 解读 ↓
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生物信息学数据中用于同时检验的二元模型AI 解读 ↓
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We develop a novel approach for testing treatment effects in high-throughput data. Most previous works on this topic focused on testing for differences between the means, but recently it has been recognized that testing for differential variation is probably as important. We take it a step further, and introduce a bivariate model modeling strategy which accounts for both differential expression and differential variation. Our model-based approach, in which the differential mean and variance are considered random effects, results in shrinkage estimation and powerful tests as it borrows strength across levels. We show in simulations that the method yields a substantial gain in the power to detect differential means when differential variation is present. Our case studies show that the model is realistic in a wide range of applications. Furthermore, a hierarchical estimation approach implemented using the EM algorithm results in a computationally efficient method which is particularly well-suited for “multiple testing” situations. Finally, we develop a power and sample size calculation tool that mirrors the estimation and inference method described in this article, and can be used to design experiments involving thousands of simultaneous tests.
We study nonparametric inference for a continuous-treatment causal dose-response curve and its first derivative under unmeasured confounding, using treatment- and outcome-inducing proxies. We establish a proximal doubly robust pseudo-outcome whose conditional mean given treatment equals the dose-response curve whenever either bridge function is correctly specified. Their (smoothed) efficient influence function representations lead to cross-fitted local-polynomial estimators…
自删失模型下信息性缺失的纵向因果推断
Longitudinal observational data are often subject to informative missingness. For example, in healthcare research using electronic health records, covariates and outcomes are measured only when patients interact with the healthcare system. Whether these data are observed usually depends on the unobserved variable values themselves, introducing a common form of data missing not at random. We develop identification and estimation methods for the effects of longitudinal…
通过正交化自适应估计发现存在混杂的时间序列因果滞后结构
Finding which variables cause which others in multivariate time series, and at what lags, is central to science and policy, yet existing methods force a choice between flexible confounder adjustment, data-driven lag selection, and inference that controls the false discovery rate (FDR). ORACLE-VARX does all three in one pipeline. First, double/debiased machine learning (DML) removes nonlinear confounder effects from the outcomes and the lagged series. Second, adaptive causal…
基于残差化 Walsh–Hadamard 得分的异质析因效应修饰因子去偏与同时推断
In factorial randomized experiments with $K$ binary treatment components, we study which baseline covariates modify component main effects and interactions. We define effect-modifier cells $(j,S)$, $j\in[p]$ and $\emptyset\neq S\subseteq[K]$, through the coefficients $θ^\ast_{jS}$ of population linear projections of conditional Walsh--Hadamard contrasts $τ_{S}$ onto standardized covariates. Using baseline-robust direct scores, we develop frequentist inference for all $p(2^K-1)$…
弱代理变量下近端因果学习的同时推断
Proximal causal learning uses the treatment-inducing proxy and the outcome-inducing proxy through the outcome bridge and the treatment bridge to provide a way to address unobserved confounding in observational studies. This paper studies simultaneous inference for the marginal counterfactual distribution and quantile treatment effect under weak proxies. First, we propose a measure of weak-proxy strength and tightens the population-bias bound for the counterfactual CDF…
任意维度下依赖研究推断的重右尾策略
We leverage recent advances in heavy-tail approximations for global hypothesis testing with dependent studies to construct approximate confidence regions without modeling or estimating their dependence structures. A non-rejection region is a confidence region but it may not be convex. Convexity is appealing because it ensures any one-dimensional linear projection of the region is a confidence interval, easy to compute and interpret. We show why convexity fails for nearly all…