Multivariate realised kernels: Consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading
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We propose a multivariate realised kernel to estimate the ex-post covariation of log-prices. We show this new consistent estimator is guaranteed to be positive semi-definite and is robust to measurement error of certain types and can also handle non-synchronous trading. It is the first estimator which has these three properties which are all essential for empirical work in this area. We derive the large sample asymptotics of this estimator and assess its accuracy using a Monte Carlo study. We implement the estimator on some US equity data, comparing our results to previous work which has used returns measured over 5 or 10 min intervals. We show that the new estimator is substantially more precise.
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We propose a quasi maximum likelihood estimation method for Bergomi-type stochastic volatility models with parametrized kernels, focusing on the estimation of the kernel parameters from high-frequency time-series observations of option prices. We first show that the cumulative forward variance, which can be reconstructed from option prices, solves an infinite-dimensional stochastic differential equation driven by a one-dimensional Brownian motion under the Bergomi-type…
无限变差跳跃下瞬时波动率的去偏核估计
Volatility estimation is a central problem in financial econometrics, but becomes particularly challenging when jump activity is high, a phenomenon observed empirically in highly traded financial securities. In this paper, we revisit the problem of spot volatility estimation for an Itô semimartingale with jumps of unbounded variation. We construct truncated kernel-based estimators and debiased variants that extend rate-optimal spot volatility estimation to a wider range of…
基于核现货波动率估计量的积分波动率泛函估计
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利用核即期波动率估计量估计积分波动率泛函
For a multidimensional Itô semimartingale, we consider the problem of estimating integrated volatility functionals. Jacod and Rosenbaum (2013) studied a plug-in type of estimator based on a Riemann sum approximation of the integrated functional and a spot volatility estimator with a forward uniform kernel. Motivated by recent results that show that spot volatility estimators with general two-side kernels of unbounded support are more accurate, in this paper, an estimator…
利用预平均进行含微观结构噪声的即时波动率核估计
We revisit the problem of estimating the spot volatility of an Itô semimartingale using a kernel estimator. A central limit theorem (CLT) with an optimal convergence rate is established for a general two-sided kernel. A new pre-averaging/kernel estimator for spot volatility is also introduced to handle the microstructure noise of ultra high-frequency observations. A CLT for the estimation error of the new estimator is obtained, and the optimal selection of the bandwidth and…