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迭代重加权最小二乘估计量的影响函数

研究问题
稳健回归中,初始估计量的影响函数如何传递到后续重加权迭代,并决定估计量及其极限的稳健性与收敛行为?
方法与思路
作者分析依赖设计位置和初始残差的估计权重,推导加权最小二乘的影响函数,并用迭代导数研究后续迭代与极限。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称,本文给出收敛及极限影响函数有界的权重条件,并刻画广义M估计迭代影响函数的矩阵混合关系。
阅读关注点
应核对权重条件、迭代导数的定义与大小要求,以及影响函数收敛和估计量收敛之间哪些联系有理论证明、哪些仅有数值提示。
阅读边界
依据稿件版本未注明的索引摘要;具体收敛条件未提供,胡伯估计的简短数值研究不能支持所有稳健回归情形或刊本变化判断。

原文摘要

The iteratively reweighted least squares algorithm is routinely employed to evaluate robust regression estimates. The importance of beginning the algorithm with a robust estimator of the unknown parameters is often stressed. The precise influence of the initial estimator on subsequent iterates or the limit of such estimators, however, does not seem to have been calculated previously. Because robust regression involves the downweighting of specific points having large rescaled residuals and/or large leverages in the design space, it is natural to think in terms of the weights themselves, rather than some less intuitive function such as the η function of generalized M estimators. Therefore, we consider multiple linear regression by the method of weighted least squares, where the weights are estimated quantities depending on both position in the design space and the residual relative to an initial regression estimator. The influence function of the weighted least squares estimator is shown to depend both on the weights and on the influence function of the initial estimator. When the weights are iteratively reestimated, convergence of the corresponding estimates and their influence functions depends on the magnitude of the iteration derivative, which is the derivative of the k + 1st iterate with respect to the kth iterate. Conditions are given on the weights for such convergence and for boundedness of the limiting influence function. For the class of generalized M estimators, the influence function of the k + 1st iterate is shown to be a convex matrix mixture of the influence functions of the kth iterate and the fully iterated M estimate. A brief numerical study for Huber M estimators suggests that the iteration derivative determines not only the speed of convergence of the sequence of influence functions corresponding to iterated reweighted least squares but the speed of convergence of the iterated estimates themselves.

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