Estimation of the Brazilian Coffee Harvest by Sampling Survey
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This article describes the results of an investigation, carried out on behalf of the Instituto Brasileiro do Café, into the possibilities of estimating the Brazilian coffee crop by means of a permanent sampling survey. The state of São Paulo already has a general sampling survey for the principal crops. With some modification, this would furnish estimates with adequate precision for coffee. In the states of Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro and Paraná, there exist registers of property owners suitable for use as frames. From them could be constructed indexes of coffee growers, so that the primary sample would be drawn from this index, with a supplementary sample from the remainder. From data of the pilot survey, an estimate is made of the volume of work which would be needed. The state of Paraná has recently been surveyed by aerial photography. It was found that this photograph provides a very satisfactory frame for sampling. The state of Espirito Santo possesses no register of property owners, and it is suggested that the sampling survey in that state will have to await a survey by aerial photography.