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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要聚焦数据库质量管理与未检出错误的预测,没有涉及所列因果、面板、宏观预测或金融计量方向的明确对象。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Mike West
Robert L. Winkler

数据库错误检测与预测

研究问题
在数据库核查只能发现部分错误的情况下,如何推断尚未检出的错误数量,并评估不同检查方式与先验信息的作用?
方法与思路
作者分别建模双人或双机器独立处理后比对,以及加入已知错误再由单人检查两种机制,构造未检出错误数的预测分布。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要指出,双重处理的观测可同时兼容低错误率与高错误率情形,并以预测分析展示先验信息对数据库质量判断的重要性。
阅读关注点
应核对检查者错误之间的关系、已知错误的代表性、预测分布构造,以及剩余错误数量对不同先验设定的敏感程度。
阅读边界
仅据 OpenAlex 索引摘要,稿件版本未注明;摘要未说明完整概率模型、参数条件或预测准确度,示例先验也不能直接照搬。

原文摘要

We develop and analyze models for a class of problems involving inferences about uncertain numbers of errors in data bases. In particular, we study two error detection methods. In the duplicate performance method, all items in a data base are processed by two individuals (or machines), and the resulting records are compared to find disagreements, which are then resolved. In the known errors method, a data base is first extended to include additional items known to be in error, and then the extended data base is checked by a single individual. For both methods, we lay out the underlying structure of the model and generate inferences in terms of predictive distributions for the numbers of undetected errors. The role of prior information is important in these problems of data base quality management. In the first method of error checking, for example, observed data are always equally consistent with small error rates and few remaining errors and with high error rates and many remaining errors. Most of our illustrative analyses use fairly conservative prior specifications, and the results are compared with those in the less formal development of Strayhorn. In practice, of course, appropriately realistic priors should be used, and some possibilities are mentioned. Models of the type studied here are applicable in a wide variety of important practical problems in data quality management, with examples in industrial quality control and reliability control being of particular note.

笔记与分组