Bayesian Nonparametric Causal Inference for High-Dimensional Nutritional Data via Factor-Based Exposure Mapping
通过因子暴露映射对高维营养数据开展贝叶斯非参数因果推断AI 解读 ↓
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Diet plays a crucial role in health, and understanding the causal effects of dietary patterns is essential for informing public health policy and personalized nutrition strategies. However, causal inference in nutritional epidemiology faces several challenges: (i) high-dimensional and correlated food/nutrient intake data induce massive treatment levels; (ii) nutritional studies are interested in latent dietary patterns rather than single food items; and (iii) the goal is to estimate heterogeneous causal effects of these dietary patterns on health outcomes. We address these challenges by introducing a sophisticated exposure mapping framework that reduces the high-dimensional treatment space via factor analysis and enables the identification of dietary patterns. We also extend the Bayesian Causal Forest to accommodate three ordered levels of dietary exposure, better capturing the complex structure of nutritional data and enabling estimation of heterogeneous causal effects. We evaluate the proposed method through extensive simulations and apply it to a multi-center epidemiological study of Hispanic/Latino adults residing in the US. Using high-dimensional dietary data, we identify six dietary patterns and estimate their causal link with two key health risk factors: body mass index and fasting insulin levels. Our findings suggest that higher consumption of plant lipid-antioxidant, plant-based, animal protein, and dairy product patterns is associated with reduced risk.
纵向中介与事件时间结局的贝叶斯半参数因果中介分析
Causal mediation analysis of observational data is an important tool for investigating the potential causal effects of medications on disease-related risk factors, and on time-to-death (or disease progression) through these risk factors. However, when analyzing data from a cohort study, such analyses are complicated by the longitudinal structure of the risk factors and the presence of time-varying confounders. Leveraging data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities…
析因多变量贝叶斯因果森林:多处理的异质主效应与交互效应
Many studies expose units to several binary treatments at once and record several correlated outcomes, yet analysts usually estimate one treatment's average effect on one outcome at a time -- discarding how treatments interact and how their effects vary across units. We introduce the factorial multivariate Bayesian causal forest, a Bayesian nonparametric model that decomposes the factorial response surface over the treatment lattice into a prognostic sum-of-trees plus one…
算法化的句法因果识别
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森林核平衡权重:由结局引导的因果推断特征
While balancing covariates between groups is central for observational causal inference, selecting which features to balance remains a challenging problem. Kernel balancing is a promising approach that first estimates a kernel that captures similarity across units and then balances a (possibly low-dimensional) summary of that kernel, indirectly learning important features to balance. In this paper, we propose forest kernel balancing, which leverages the underappreciated fact…
事件时间结果因果亚组估计的贝叶斯层级自助框架
Causal estimation of treatment effects within prespecified subgroups, such as biomarker-defined strata, disease phenotypes, or demographic groups are often of clinical interest. Bayesian approaches are attractive for subgroup effect estimation because flexible priors can represent complex treatment heterogeneity and propagate posterior uncertainty. Frequentist methods for prespecified causal subgroup analysis with time-to-event outcomes are also available, including…