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干扰参数仅在备择下存在时针对不等式约束的检验

研究问题
当部分干扰参数在原假设下不可识别,同时备择假设包含不等式约束或多参数单侧限制时,如何构造兼顾两类非标准问题的检验?
方法与思路
作者结合处理原假设下参数不可识别与不等式约束的既有思路,提出同时处理二者的新检验,并以 ARCH-M 模型的误差方差恒定性检验说明方法。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称,新检验将两类以往分开研究的非标准情形纳入同一处理;在所述方差检验模拟中表现更好,但对更广泛问题的优势仅提出猜测。
阅读关注点
阅读时应核对干扰参数为何在原假设下不可识别、不等式约束的具体形式,以及检验构造、校准方式和模拟比较所使用的评价指标。
阅读边界
摘要未提供一般理论条件、检验统计量或模拟数值;优势陈述主要来自特定方差检验的模拟,作者对一般情形的猜测不能视为已证明结论。

原文摘要

In this article we develop improved statistical tests for situations satisfying the following two nonstandard conditions simultaneously: (a) Some nuisance parameters become unidentified under the null hypothesis, and (b) the alternative hypothesis is restricted in the sense that it has inequality constraints/multiparameter one-sided hypotheses. In the statistical and econometric literature, inference problems under these two nonstandard conditions have been studied separately but not simultaneously. For example, procedures to deal with the nonstandard condition (a) only have been studied by Bera and Ra and by Andrews and Ploberger; surveys of test procedures to deal with (b) only may be found in the work of Robertson, Wright, and Dykstra. A main contribution of this article is that, by pooling the ideas and insights from both these areas of literature, we develop new tests to deal with (a) and (b) simultaneously. Based on the approach that we take, we would conjecture that our tests should perform better than other tests that are available for tests under the nonstandard conditions (a) and (b). As an example, we consider the problem of testing whether or not the error variance is constant over time, in an ARCH-in-Mean (ARCH-M) model. We use this example to motivate and explain our ideas. A data example illustrates the application of the test in a simple situation. In a simulation study, we observed that the new test procedures proposed here performed better than the other available ones for this problem.

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