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AI 根据所提供的论文材料归类:摘要研究医学多事件生存分析,未明确涉及所列因果、分位数或经济面板等细分问题。

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关注这篇论文的作者
Fei Gao
Donglin Zeng
David Couper
D. Y. Lin

多个右删失与区间删失事件的半参数回归分析

研究问题
当多个疾病事件分别受到右删失和区间删失时,如何联合描述协变量作用与事件间依赖,并随事件历史更新发病预测?
方法与思路
作者构建含随机效应的半参数比例风险联合模型,采用非参数最大似然估计和EM算法,并利用联合模型进行动态预测。
材料陈述的贡献
摘要称估计量具有一致性,参数部分渐近正态且有效,协方差可由剖面似然或非参数自助法一致估计,并给出队列应用。
阅读关注点
应核对删失与检查过程的假设、随机效应如何区分各类事件依赖,以及有效性证明、协方差估计和动态预测的验证方式。
阅读边界
索引摘要未注明稿件版本;删失机制、随机效应分布及渐近结论的具体条件未说明,无法判断预测校准或应用中的效应大小。

原文摘要

Health sciences research often involves both right- and interval-censored events because the occurrence of a symptomatic disease can only be observed up to the end of follow-up, while the occurrence of an asymptomatic disease can only be detected through periodic examinations. We formulate the effects of potentially time-dependent covariates on the joint distribution of multiple right- and interval-censored events through semiparametric proportional hazards models with random effects that capture the dependence both within and between the two types of events. We consider nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation and develop a simple and stable EM algorithm for computation. We show that the resulting estimators are consistent and the parametric components are asymptotically normal and efficient with a covariance matrix that can be consistently estimated by profile likelihood or nonparametric bootstrap. In addition, we leverage the joint modelling to provide dynamic prediction of disease incidence based on the evolving event history. Furthermore, we assess the performance of the proposed methods through extensive simulation studies. Finally, we provide an application to a major epidemiological cohort study. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

笔记与分组
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